September 2018 Monthly Forecast

Posted 31 August 2018

• Overview

  The US has the presidency in September. Read more

• Status Update

  Status Update since our August Forecast. Read more

• In Hindsight: South Sudan Arms Embargo

  With the adoption of resolution 2428 on 13 July, the Security Council imposed an arms embargo on South Sudan until 31 May 2019. The imposition of an arms embargo on South Sudan is a major development. Some Council members had proposed an arms embargo more than four years ago—then-elected member Australia raised this in the Council in May 2014, for instance (S/PV.7168)—but until this July, the proposal had failed to garner sufficient support. Read more

• Peacekeeping Operations

  In September, the Security Council will hold a debate on peacekeeping reform. As requested in resolution 2378, Secretary-General António Guterres is expected to deliver the first comprehensive annual briefing on the reform of UN peacekeeping. Read more

• Libya

  In September, the Council is expected to renew the mandate of UNSMIL and receive briefings by the Special Representative and head of UNSMIL, Ghassan Salamé, and the chair of the 1970 Libya Sanctions Committee, Ambassador Olof Skoog (Sweden). UNSMIL’s mandate expires on 15 September, and the mandate of the Panel of Experts assisting the sanctions committee expires on 15 November.  Read more

• Haiti

  In September, the Council will receive the second report on the implementation of resolution 2410 that on 10 April extended under Chapter VII of the UN Charter the mandate of MINUJUSTH, and will hold a briefing on the situation in Haiti. Read more

• Colombia

  In September, the Council is expected to renew the mandate of the UN Verification Mission in Colombia, which expires on 26 September. Read more

• Somalia

  In September, the Special Representative and head of UNSOM, Michael Keating, will brief the Council, followed by consultations. The mandate of UNSOM expires on 27 March 2019. Read more

• Syria

  In September, the Council expects to receive the monthly Syria briefings on the humanitarian situation, political developments, and the use of chemical weapons. Read more

• Afghanistan

  In September, the Council will hold its quarterly debate on Afghanistan and will consider the latest Secretary-General’s report on UNAMA. Tadamichi Yamamoto, the Secretary-General’s Special Representative for Afghanistan and head of UNAMA, is expected to brief. A civil society representative might also brief. The mandate of UNAMA expires on 17 March 2019. Read more

• South Sudan

  In September, the Council expects a briefing on the Secretary-General’s 90-day report on South Sudan, requested in resolution 2406. Council members will also receive his monthly report on violations of the Status of Forces Agreement or obstructions to the UN Mission in South Sudan (UNMISS). Read more

• Sudan/South Sudan

  In September, the Council expects to receive a briefing on UNISFA and on the report of the Secretary-General containing detailed recommendations about the reconfiguration of UNISFA, requested in resolution 2416 and submitted to the Council in August. Council members also expect to receive by 15 September a report from the Secretary-General, requested in resolution 2412, on progress in implementing any steps taken by the parties as set out in that resolution as well as resolution 2386. This report may also be covered during the briefing. Read more

• Corruption and Conflict

  In September, the US is planning to hold a briefing under the agenda item “Maintenance of International Peace and Security” on corruption and conflict. Secretary-General António Guterres will brief. Additionally, John Prendergast, Founding Director of the Enough Project and co-founder of The Sentry will brief. A formal outcome is not anticipated. Read more