November 2025 Monthly Forecast

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• Overview 

  In November, Sierra Leone will hold the presidency of the Security Council.     Read more

• In Hindsight: The Rise of the African Members of the Security Council

  The three African members of the UN Security Council, known as the A3, have come of age as a cohesive and influential group, shaping both country-specific and thematic discussions within the UN Security Council. Over the years, they have steadily enhanced their coordination in pursuit of a common African position on the various items on the Council’s agenda. This growing unity is most visibly reflected in their increasingly consistent practice of speaking with one voice—delivering joint statements and presenting unified positions during Council meetings. In addition, the A3 have in recent years organised themselves as a cohesive negotiating bloc with the ability to significantly shape Council outcomes. Both individually and collectively, the A3 have also played an increasingly active role in spearheading Council products on key African priorities, thus enhancing their influence in the Council. This In Hindsight provides a preview of our upcoming research report on the burgeoning role of the A3 in the Security Council. Read more

• Status Update since our October Forecast    

  This is the Status Update since our October Forecast. Read more

• Conflict and Food Insecurity

  In November, the Security Council will hold a high-level open debate on conflict-related food insecurity. This is a signature event of Sierra Leone’s Council presidency and will be chaired by Sierra Leone’s President Julius Maada Bio. The expected briefers are UN Deputy Secretary-General Amina J. Mohammed, Under-Secretary-General for Humanitarian Affairs Tom Fletcher, African Union (AU) Special Envoy for Food Systems Ibrahim Assane Mayaki, and a civil society representative.  Read more

• Syria

  In November, the Security Council is expected to hold its monthly meeting on political and humanitarian developments in Syria. Deputy Special Envoy for Syria Najat Rochdi and Under-Secretary-General for Humanitarian Affairs Tom Fletcher are expected to brief. Read more

• Yemen

  In November, the Security Council is expected to renew the Yemen financial and travel ban sanctions measures, which expire on 15 November, and the mandate of the Yemen Panel of Experts (PoE), which expires on 15 December. (The targeted arms embargo on the Houthi rebel group established by resolution 2216 in April 2015 is open-ended.) The Council will also hold its monthly meeting on Yemen and receive a briefing from the chair of the 2140 Yemen Sanctions Committee, Ambassador Jihoon Cha (Republic of Korea).  Read more

• Sudan/South Sudan

  In November, the Security Council will hold a briefing and consultations on the UN Interim Security Force for Abyei (UNISFA). The Council is also expected to renew the mandate of UNISFA and extend the mission’s support for the Joint Border Verification and Monitoring Mechanism (JBVMM), established in 2011 to conduct monitoring and verification activities along the Sudan-South Sudan border, before their expiration on 15 November. Read more

• Climate, Peace and Security

  In November, the Council is expected to hold a briefing on “Climate and security—environmental impact of armed conflict and climate driven security risks” under the “Threats to international peace and security” agenda item. Read more

• Small Arms and Light Weapons

  In November, Sierra Leone will convene an open debate on Small Arms and Light Weapons (SALW) as one of the signature events of its November Security Council presidency. Sierra Leone’s President Julius Maada Bio will chair the meeting. Officer-in-Charge of the Office of Disarmament Affairs and Deputy to the High Representative for Disarmament Affairs, Adedeji Ebo, is the anticipated briefer. Read more

• South Sudan

  In November, the Security Council will hold a briefing, followed by consultations, on the situation in South Sudan. Council members are expected to receive the Secretary-General’s 90-day report on South Sudan and developments in the country by 4 November. The mandate of the UN Mission in South Sudan (UNMISS) expires on 30 April 2026. Read more

• Central African Republic

  In November, the Council is expected to renew the mandate of the UN Multidimensional Integrated Stabilization Mission in the Central African Republic (MINUSCA), which expires on 15 November. Read more

• Working Methods

  In November, the Council will hold its annual open debate on working methods. Ambassador Christina Markus Lassen (Denmark) will brief as co-chair of the Informal Working Group on Documentation and Other Procedural Questions (IWG). Shamala Kandiah Thompson, Executive Director of Security Council Report, and Loraine Sievers, co-author of “The Procedure of the UN Security Council” (4th Edition), are also expected to brief. Ahead of the open debate, Denmark and Pakistan, the co-chairs of the IWG, are expected to circulate a concept note. Read more

• Lebanon

  In November, Security Council members expect to receive a briefing in consultations on the Secretary-General’s report on the implementation of resolution 1701. Under-Secretary-General for Peacekeeping Operations Jean-Pierre Lacroix and Special Coordinator for Lebanon Jeanine Hennis-Plasschaert are the anticipated briefers. Read more

• Libya

  In November, the Security Council is expected to vote on a resolution renewing the authorisation for member states, acting nationally or through regional organisations, to inspect vessels on the high seas off the coast of Libya, bound to or from Libya, that they have reasonable grounds to believe are violating the arms embargo. The current authorisation expires on 28 November 2025. Read more

• DPRK (North Korea)

  In November, the Chair of the 1718 Democratic People’s Republic of Korea (DPRK) Sanctions Committee, Ambassador Aglaia Balta (Greece), is scheduled to brief Council members in closed consultations on the 90-day report regarding the Committee’s work. Read more

• West Africa and the Sahel

  In November, the Security Council will hold an open briefing under the agenda item “Peace Consolidation in West Africa”. Julius Maada Bio, Sierra Leone’s President and Chairperson of the Economic Community of West African States (ECOWAS), is expected to chair the meeting, which is likely to focus on countering terrorism in the region. Read more