June 2007 Monthly Forecast

Posted 31 May 2007
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Notable Dates

Important Dates over the Horizon

Reports Due for Consideration in June

Relevant Document 

1 June

Commissioner’s quarterly UNMOVIC report (UN Monitoring, Verification and Inspection Commission)

S/RES/1284

1 June

SG semi-annual UNFICYP report (UN Peacekeeping Force in Cyprus)

S/RES/1728

early June

SG semi-annual report on Iraq/Kuwait missing persons and property

S/RES/1284

6 June

Report of the Liberia Sanctions Committee’s Panel of Experts

S/RES/1731

8 June

SG quarterly UNAMI report (UN Assistance Mission in Iraq)

S/RES/1700 

early June

The Lebanon Independent Border Assessment Team (LIBAT) report and recommendations are due before the 1701 report. However, the assessment will take two to three weeks to complete and its report, along with the 1701 report, are likely to be delayed.

S/PRST/2007/12

12 June

SG quarterly report on the implementation of resolution 1701 (Lebanon)

S/PRST/2006/52

mid June

SG quarterly UNMIK report (UN Mission in Kosovo)

S/RES/1244

mid June

Semi-Annual progress reports on the respective completion strategies of the ICTY and ICTR

S/RES/1534
15 June Report of the Côte d’Ivoire Sanctions Committee’s Group of Experts S/RES/1727
20 June SG semi-annual UNDOF report (UN Disengagement Observer Force) S/RES/1729
22 June SG quarterly UNOGBIS report (UN Peacebuilding Support Office in Guinea-Bissau) S/RES/1580
26 June SG semi-annual BONUCA report (UN Peacebuilding Support Office in the Central African Republic) S/PRST/2006/47
late June Interim report of the Sudan Sanction Committee’s Panel of Experts S/RES/1713
30 June SG quarterly UNMIL report including drawdown plans (UN Mission in Liberia) S/RES/1750
30 June SG report on Somalia including progress on a national reconciliation conference and contingency planning for a possible UN peacekeeping mission S/PRST/2007/13
30 June SG monthly report on Darfur S/RES/1590

June 2007                       

Mandates Expire  

Relevant Document

15 June

UNFICYP

S/RES/1728

15 June

Group of Experts of the Côte d’Ivoire Sanctions Committee

S/RES/1727

20 June

Panel of Experts of the Liberia Sanctions Committee

S/RES/1731
20 June UNOCI S/RES/1739

30 June

UNDOF

S/RES/1729

June 2007

Other Important Dates

30 May-11 June

A UN delegation will visit Darfur to assess the possibility of starting peace talks. The delegation will also visit Khartoum, Chad and Eritrea.                                            

4 June

The Special Court for Sierra Leone has reported that Charles Taylor’s trial at the Court’s outpost in The Hague will begin.
6-8 June G8 Summit in Germany
11 June The IAEA Board of Governors will meet in Vienna regarding Iran.
11-18 June Fifth Session of the Human Rights Council in Geneva
15 June Resolution 1723 called for a review of the Multinational Force, the Development Fund for Iraq and International Advisory and Monitoring Board in Iraq.
15 June Serge Brammertz’s appointment as the UNIIIC Commissioner expires (S/2006/998 and 999).

20 June

The previously scheduled constituent assembly elections in Nepal will likely be delayed until mid-November.

22 June

The Council will likely hold an open debate on the Protection of Civilians in Armed Conflict.

25 June

The Council will likely hold an open debate on natural resources and conflict.

30 June

Parliamentary elections are scheduled in Timor-Leste.

Also expected in June:

  • The Council is planning a visiting mission in late June to Addis Ababa and Ghana in advance of July’s AU Summit. They will also be traveling to the DRC, Côte d’Ivoire and Sudan.
  • The Organisational Committee of the Peacebuilding Commission is expected to select a new chair and two vice-chairs.  Its annual report is also expected to be finalised by the end of the month.
  • The ICC Chief Prosecutor is likely to brief the Council on the Darfur case.
  • A Somali national reconciliation conference in Mogadishu is tentatively scheduled for mid-June, postponed from 16 April.

Important Dates over the Horizon

  • An AU Summit is scheduled for 1-3 July in Ghana.
  • A rebel unity conference in South Sudan this July has been agreed to in principle ahead of possible peace talks with the Sudanese government.
  • There are media reports that the Government of Sudan has promised demarcation of the north-south border, perhaps as early as July, well in advance of the 14 November census, delayed from 30 June.
  • Presidential and legislative elections in Sierra Leone are expected 11 August.
  • A high-level meeting on climate change is being planned on the sidelines of this September’s General Assembly with a view to a UN conference in Bali in December.
  • There are media reports that the Nabih Berri will convene the Lebanese parliament on 25 September to elect a new president.
  • The Secretary-General’s next reports on the thematic issues of Protection of Civilians in Armed Conflict and Women, Peace & Security are expected by October.
  • Local elections in the DRC are expected in the second half of 2007.
  • Parliamentary elections in Kosovo are expected in late 2007.
  • A workshop on security sector reform, a joint initiative of Slovakia and South Africa, is being planned for later in 2007 in Africa.
  • Presidential elections in Côte d’Ivoire are now expected by January 2008, postponed from 31 October.

    Full forecast