February 2011 Monthly Forecast

Posted 28 January 2011
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Overview

Brazil will have the Council’s presidency in February.

There will be an open debate, most likely on 11 February, on the linkages between development and peace and security. It is likely to be chaired by the country’s Foreign Minister, Antonio Patriota.

A “horizon scanning” briefing in informal consultations by the Department of Political Affairs on issues of concern for the next period is a possibility.

Also possible is a discussion, in consultations, to review the overall programme of the Council’s protection work.

The Council may also meet with Karin Landgren, the incoming Special Representative of the Secretary-General and Head of the UN Office in Burundi (BNUB). The Council, in its 2006 Note from the President (S/2006/507) on working methods stressed its desire to hold dialogues with new Special Representatives of the Secretary-General before they assume their duties, but in practice such meetings up till now have been very sporadic.

The Council will also likely hold another in its series of quarterly consultations on peacekeeping with the heads of the peace keeping and field support departments.

The Council is due to renew the mandate of the UN integrated mission in Timor-Leste, UNMIT. A briefing by the head of mission, Ameerah Haq, and a debate with the participation of the Prime Minister of Timor-Leste Xanana Gusmão, are expected, followed by a formal session to adopt the resolution.

Several other briefings are expected on:

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    • MONUSCO, the operation in the DRC, by its head Roger Meece, followed by consultations;
    • the activities of the Organisation for Security and Co-operation in Europe (OSCE) by its chairperson-in-office, Lithuanian Foreign Minister Audronius A┼żubalis;
    • Kosovo, by the head of UNMIK, Lamberto Zannier, likely to be followed by a debate;
    • the work of the integrated peacebuilding office in Guinea-Bissau, UNIOGBIS, by its head Joseph Mutaboba;
    • the referendum in Sudan, following the official announcement of results by the head of UNMIS, Haile Menkerios, via videolink; and
    • the DPRK in consultations, by the chair of the DPRK Sanctions Committee, Portugal’s Ambassador José Filipe Moraes Cabral.

Two sets of constultations on Sudan are expected. Consultations are also expected on the ongoing situation in Côte d’Ivoire, and on the previously scheduled review of the sanctions regime. Should the Secretary-General request the extension of the authorisation of the temporary deployment to Côte d’Ivoire of some troops from the operation in Liberia (UNMIL), the Council is likely to hold consultations and would need to meet in a formal session to adopt a resolution.

Full forecast