February 2007 Monthly Forecast

Posted 1 February 2007
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Aide Memoire

Important matters pending before the Council include:

  • The  2005 World Summit requested reforms relating to the Military Staff Committee. This has yet to be addressed. 
  • It is now almost six months since the Council in resolution  1701  requested the Secretary-General to develop proposals on the critical issues facing Lebanon with a view to a long term solution.  Nothing substantive has been submitted and the Council has not followed up its promise in resolution 1701 to continue to be actively involved in steps toward a long term solution.  Meanwhile the situation in Lebanon has become increasingly fragile.
  • The establishment of a hybrid operation in Darfur and a multidimensional UN presence in Chad and Central African Republic as envisaged in resolution  1706  are still pending.
  • No action has been taken (as promised in resolution  1706  on Darfur) to impose “strong effective measures, such as asset freeze or travel ban, against any individual or group that violates or attempts to block the implementation of the [Darfur Peace] Agreement or commits human rights violations.”
  • On Somalia, the Council is still to act on its “intention to consider taking measures against those who seek to prevent or block a peaceful dialogue process, overthrow the Transitional Federal Institutions by force, or take action that further threatens regional stability” expressed in resolution  1725.
  • The draft resolution on small arms circulated by Argentina in March seems to have lapsed. The issue is no longer included as a footnote on the Council’s calendar.  The absence of a Council decision on this matter leaves future periodic Secretary-General’s reports in abeyance.  Because of the absence of a request from the Council, the Secretariat has no mandate to proceed to produce the report.
  • The Secretary-General’s report on cross border issues and inter-mission cooperation in West Africa requested in August is now overdue.  (It seems likely that this item will appear as a footnote to the February calendar.)
  • The December 2004 report by the Secretary-General on human rights violations in Côte d’Ivoire, requested by a presidential statement, has still not been made public. Also on Côte d’Ivoire, the December 2005 report by the Secretary-General’s Special Adviser on the Prevention of Genocide has not been published.

Full forecast

 

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