February 2007 Monthly Forecast

Posted 1 February 2007
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Notable Dates

Reports due for Consideration in February  Relevant Document
1 February         SG report on UNMIT (UN Integrated Mission in Timor-Leste) S/RES/1704
early February SG report on MONUC (UN Mission in the DRC) S/RES/1711
15 February SG report on the impact on economic sanctions on the DRC

S/RES/1698

mid February SG recommendations on a UN presence in the CAR and  Chad along  the border with Sudan S/PRST/2007/2
21 February IAEA report on Iranian compliance with resolution 1737 S/RES/1737
late February SG report on Somalia (every two months) S/RES/1725
28 February SG report on Darfur (monthly) S/RES/1590
February 2007 Mandates Expire Relevant Document
15 February MONUC (UN Mission in the DRC)

S/RES/1711

15 February MINUSTAH (UN Stabilization Mission in Haiti)

S/RES/1702

25 February UNMIT (UN Integrated Mission in Timor-Leste) S/RES/1704
February 2007 Other Important Dates
1 February A meeting of the core group on Haiti will take place in Washington DC.
1 February An ECOWAS meeting on Côte d’Ivoire is scheduled.
2 February A meeting of the Middle East Quartet will take place in Washington DC.
6 February Six-party talks on North Korea are tentatively scheduled to resume.
8 February The Open-ended Working Group on the Question of Equitable Representation on and Increase in the Membership of the Security Council and Other Matters related to the Security Council will hold a meeting.

Also expected in February:

  • A thematic debate in the Council (on 21 February) and an Arria formula meeting (on 20 February) on Security Sector Reform are expected.
  • An open debate on implementation of resolution 1540 is possible.
  • The ICC Chief Prosecutor’s filing of first charges in connection with crimes committed in Darfur is possible February.
  • A session of the Special Committee on Peacekeeping Operations is being planned for late February or early March.
  • An Arria formula meeting on the Democratic Republic of the Congo is possible for mid February.

Important Dates over the Horizon

  • The Council is tentatively planning visiting missions for 2007 to West Africa (including Côte d’Ivoire), Timor-Leste and Central Africa.
  • The IAEA Board of Governors will meet 5-9 March.
  • The report from the Secretary-General’s Special Envoy for the Future Status Process for Kosovo, Martti Ahtisaari, was submitted to the Contact Group and the parties in late January, but discussion in the Council is unlikely before March.
  • Parliamentary elections in Chad are scheduled for April.
  • Human Rights Council elections are scheduled for May.
  • Elections in Timor-Leste are expected in May.
  • The Special Court for Sierra Leone has reported that Charles Taylor’s trial at The Hague will begin in June.
  • Election of Nepal’s constituent assembly is expected in June.
  • Elections in Sierra Leone are expected in July.
  • The Secretary-General’s next reports on the thematic issues of Protection of Civilians in Armed Conflict and Women, Peace & Security are expected by October.
  • Presidential elections in Côte d’Ivoire are expected by 31 October.
  • Local elections in the DRC are expected in the second half of 2007.

Full forecast