December 2010 Monthly Forecast

Posted 1 December 2010
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Notable Dates

Report Due

Reports for Consideration in December

Requesting Document

5 November

ICTR completion strategy report (S/2010/574)

S/RES/1534

18 November

ICTY completion strategy report (S/2010/588)

S/RES/1534

23 November

SG report on Côte d’Ivoire (UNOCI) S/2010/600

S/RES/1933

26 November

SG report on Iraq (UNAMI) S/2010/606

S/RES/1936

30 November

SG report on Burundi (BINUB)

S/RES/1902

1 December

SG report on Women, Peace and Security (Sexual Violence in Conflict)

S/RES/1888
S/2010/417

1 December

SG report on UN operation in Cyprus (UNFICYP)

S/RES/1930

1 December

SG report on the Central African Republic (BINUCA)

S/PRST/2009/35
S/PRST/2001/25

1 December

SG report on Golan Heights (UNDOF)

S/RES/1934

1 December

SG report on Chad/CAR (MINURCAT)

S/RES/1923

9 December

SG report on West Africa (UNOWA)

S/2007/754

10 December

SG report on Iraq/Kuwait missing persons and return of property

S/RES/1284
S/2010/378

13 December

SG report on Afghanistan (UNAMA)

S/RES/1917

late December

Annual Counter-Terrorism Committee report

S/RES/1805

Mandate Expiry in December 2010

Relevant Document

15 December

Cyprus (UNFICYP)

S/RES/1930

16 December

Liberia sanctions

S/RES/1903

20 December

Panel of Experts for the Liberia Sanctions Committee

S/RES/1903

31 December

Burundi (BINUB)

S/RES/1902

31 December

Chad/CAR (MINURCAT)

S/RES/1923

31 December

Golan Heights (UNDOF)

S/RES/1934

31 December

Côte d’Ivoire (UNOCI)

S/RES/1933

31 December

Central African Republic (BINUCA)

S/PRST/2009/35

31 December

Ad Hoc Working Group on Conflict Prevention and Resolution in Africa

S/2009/650

31 December

DFI/IAMB arrangements (Iraq)

S/RES/1905

31 December

West Africa (UNOWA)

S/2007/754

31 December

Counter-Terrorism Executive Directorate (CTED)

S/RES/1805

December 2010

Other Important Dates

2 December

Regarding Sudan, President Omar Al-Bashir, First Vice President Salva Kiir and Vice President Ali Osman Taha are expected to resume talks on Abyei.

6-7 December

An EU meeting with Iran in Geneva on nuclear issues is expected.

16 December

An open debate on Women, Peace and Security (resolution 1888 on sexual violence in conflict) is expected. The Secretary-General’s Special Representative Margot Wallström is expected to brief the Council.

Also likely in December:

  • The chair of the Sudan Sanctions Committee will present his ninety-day report to the Council in closed consultations.
  • The Council’s informal expert group on protection of civilians is expected to meet and discuss the termination of MINURCAT.
  • The panel of experts on Liberia is to produce its final report to the Council via the sanctions committee.
  • A high-level meeting on Iraq is likely.
  • Discussions on a possible youth event seem likely.
  • The Secretary-General’s Personal Envoy for Western Sahara, Christopher Ross, is scheduled to convene another round of informal meetings between Morocco and the Polisario.

Briefings are expected by:

  • Under-Secretary-General for Political Affairs B. Lynn Pascoe on Nepal
  • Head of UNOCI Choi Young-jin on Côte d’Ivoire
  • Head of UN peacekeeping Alain Le Roy on Sudan
  • Head of UNOWA Said Djinnit on West Africa
  • The Head of BINUB on Burundi
  • The Department of Political Affairs for the regular monthly Middle East briefing
  • Special Representative for Cyprus and head of UNFICYP Lisa Buttenheim
  • Special Representative and head of MINURCAT Youssef Mahmoud
  • Special Representative and head of BINUCA Sahle-Work Zewde on the Central African Republic
  • High-Level Coordinator for Iraq/Kuwait Missing Persons and Property
  • Presidents and prosecutors of the international criminal tribunals for the former Yugoslavia (ICTY) and Rwanda (ICTR)
  • Chair of the 1737 Sanctions Committee on Iran
  • Chair of the Committee established pursuant to resolution 1132 (Sierra Leone)
  • Chairs of the subsidiary bodies
  • Prosecutor of the International Criminal Court Luis Moreno-Ocampo on Sudan

Important Dates over the Horizon

  • Referenda for southern Sudan and Abyei are to be held pursuant to the Comprehensive Peace Agreement by 9 January 2011.
  • Parliamentary and first round presidential elections are scheduled for 23 January 2011 in the Central African Republic.
  • Legislative elections are expected on 20 February 2011 and local elections on 27 March 2011 in Chad.
  • First-round presidential elections are expected on 8 May 2011 in Chad.
  • Parliamentary elections are scheduled for May 2011 in Cyprus.
  • The transitional period as defined by the Transitional Federal Charter of Somalia expires in August 2011.
  • Legislative and presidential elections in Liberia are expected in October 2011.
  • Parliamentary elections and first round of presidential elections are scheduled for 27 November 2011 in the DRC.

Full forecast