December 2010 Monthly Forecast

Posted 1 December 2010
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  • Central African Republic

    In early December, the Council expects to receive the Secretary-General’s report on the UN Integrated Peace-building Office in the Central African Republic (BINUCA). The Secretary-General’s Special Representative Sahle-Work Zewde is likely to brief the Council. The Council seems ready to renew BINUCA’s mandate, which expires on 31 December 2010, without major changes. Read more

  • Conflict Prevention in Africa

    The Council is expected to renew the mandate of the Ad Hoc Working Group on Conflict Prevention and Resolution in Africa, which expires on 31 December 2010. The renewal is expected to take place by the close of the year following consultations among the Council—likely to be announced in a presidential note. Read more

  • Status Update

    Status Update of Security Council Activity in November 2010. Read more

  • International Criminal Tribunals

    In December the presidents and prosecutors of the International Criminal Tribunals for the former Yugoslavia and Rwanda are expected to brief the Council. The Tribunals’ progress reports were circulated to Council members in November. Read more

  • Aide Memoire

    Important matters pending include: In resolution 1894 on protection of civilians, the Council requested the Secretary-General to develop guidance for UN operations and other relevant missions on protection reporting for enhancing the Council’s monitoring and oversight. There has been no... Read more

  • Cyprus

    In December, the Council is expected to extend the UN Peacekeeping Force in Cyprus, UNFICYP, for another six months. The Secretary-General’s Special Representative for Cyprus, Lisa Buttenheim, is expected to brief Council members in informal consultations. A Secretary-General’s report on UNFICYP is due on 1 December. Read more

  • Notable Dates

    Notable dates for December 2010.   Read more

  • West Africa (UNOWA)

    In December the Council is expected to consider the Secretary-General’s report on UNOWA and to renew the mandate of the mission, which expires on 31 December. The head of UNOWA, Said Djinnit, may brief the Council. Read more

  • Golan Heights (UNDOF)

    UNDOF was established in May 1974 to monitor the ceasefire between Israel and Syria. The mandate expires on 31 December. Following its usual practice, the Council is expected to extend the mandate for six months and call upon Israel and Syria to implement resolution 338. Read more

  • Afghanistan

    In December the Council is expected to receive the Secretary-General’s quarterly report on key developments in Afghanistan. At press time it was unclear if the Council would take up the report before the end of 2010 or in early January. Read more

  • Security Council Subsidiary Bodies

    In December, the Council is expected to be briefed by the chairmen of subsidiary bodies whose countries will be finishing their term on the Council. Read more

  • Iraq

    At press time there were indications that the US (Council president in December) is planning to convene a high-level meeting on Iraq in December. It remains to be seen what the focus for such a meeting will be. Read more

  • Overview

    The United States will hold the presidency of the Council in December. It is typically the busiest month on the calendar due to a high number of scheduled briefings and mandate renewals and the usual desire to wrap up all... Read more

  • Sudan

    In December, the Council will be briefed by the head of UN peacekeeping, Alain Le Roy, on the progress of preparations for the referenda to be held on 9 January in southern Sudan and Abyei and the situation in Darfur. Read more

  • Iran

    A quarterly briefing from the chair of the 1737 Sanctions Committee on Iran is expected in December. An IAEA report on Iran's compliance with Council resolutions is also expected. No Council action seemed likely at time of writing. Read more

  • Côte d’Ivoire

    In December the Council is expected to consider the Secretary-General’s report on Côte d’Ivoire. The mandate of the UN peacekeeping mission UNOCI expires on 31 December and in light of the ongoing gravity of the situation the Council is expected to renew it. Read more

  • Chad/CAR

    The Council expects to receive a report from the Secretary-General on the situation in Chad and the Central African Republic (CAR). As requested by resolution 1923, the report is likely to include an assessment of lessons learned in the context of MINURCAT which finally expires on 31 December. The Secretary-General’s Special Representative and head of MINURCAT, Youssef Mahmoud, is also likely to brief the Council in December. Read more

  • Liberia

    In December, the Sanctions Committee on Liberia is likely to take up recommendations from the panel of experts charged with investigating and reporting on implementation of sanctions. Read more

  • Counter-Terrorism

    The Council is expected in December to renew the mandate of CTED, the Secretariat body which assists the Council’s Counter-Terrorism Committee (CTC). The CTC plans to submit a report to the Council in December on CTED’s work to date. (It was unclear at time of writing if the Council would separately consider the CTC report.) Read more

  • Women, Peace and Security: Sexual Violence in Conflict

    The Council is expected to hold an open debate on sexual violence in conflict on 16 December. Special Representative of the Secretary-General on Sexual Violence in Conflict Margot Wallström will present the Secretary-General’s report on this issue (due the first week in December). Read more

  • Burundi

    In December, the Council is expecting a briefing on Burundi and will consider the report of the Secretary-General on BINUB. BINUB’s mandate expires on 31 December. Council members are likely to discuss the future role of the UN in Burundi. A smaller-sized political mission is expected to replace BINUB to reflect a more forward-looking relationship between the UN and Burundi, especially after the elections. Read more

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