November 2019 Monthly Forecast

Posted 31 October 2019
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  • Overview

    The UK has the presidency in November. Read more

  • In Hindsight: Missing Monthly Assessments of Council Presidencies*

    In 1997, Security Council members came up with the idea of producing monthly assessments of their own Council presidencies as one means of introducing a more analytical component into the Council’s annual report to the General Assembly. With two exceptions... Read more

  • Status Update since our October Forecast

    Counter-Terrorism On 1 October, the 1267/1989/2253 Islamic State in Iraq and the Levant (ISIL) (Da’esh) and Al-Qaida Sanctions Committee met to discuss a recent visit to Syria by the Monitoring Team assisting it. On 11 October, the committee met with... Read more

  • Syria

    In November, the Security Council is expected to hold its monthly meetings on the political process, the humanitarian situation, and the use of chemical weapons in Syria. Regarding the meeting on the use of chemical weapons, the Director-General of the Organisation for the Prohibition of Chemical Weapons (OPCW), Fernando Arias, is expected to brief the Council in a private meeting. The current authorisation for cross-border humanitarian assistance expires on 10 January 2020. Read more

  • Libya

    In November, the Council is expected to receive briefings by the Special Representative and head of UNSMIL, Ghassan Salamé, and the chair of the 1970 Libya Sanctions Committee, Jürgen Schulz, the Deputy Permanent Representative of Germany. Additionally, ICC Prosecutor Fatou Bensouda will deliver her semi-annual briefing on recent developments concerning cases in Libya. The mandate of UNSMIL expires on 15 September 2020, and the mandate of the Panel of Experts assisting the 1970 Libya Sanctions Committee expires on 15 February 2020. Read more

  • Bosnia and Herzegovina

    In November, the Council will hold its semi-annual debate on Bosnia and Herzegovina (BiH) and to renew the authorisation of the EU-led multinational stabilisation force (EUFOR ALTHEA). High Representative Valentin Inzko is expected to brief on the latest report of the Office of the High Representative (OHR).The current authorisation for EUFOR ALTHEA expires on 6 November. Read more

  • UN Peacekeeping

    In November, the Council will hold its annual briefing with the heads of UN police components. Under-Secretary-General for UN Peacekeeping Operations Jean-Pierre Lacroix and UN Police Adviser Luís Carrilho are expected to brief. The heads of police components of three UN peacekeeping operations will also brief: Awale Abdounasir, the police commissioner of the UN Organization Stabilization Operation in the Democratic Republic of the Congo; Mary Gahonzire, the police commissioner of the UN Interim Security Force for Abyei; and Issoufou Yacouba, the police commissioner of the UN Multidimensional Integrated Stabilization Mission in Mali. Abdounasir is expected to speak about MONUSCO’s efforts to address serious and organised crime, while Gahonzire will discuss UNISFA’s efforts to support community protection committees in Abyei and Yacouba will address efforts to build governance in “ungoverned spaces” in Mali.    Read more

  • Somalia

    In November, the Council is expected to adopt a resolution on the Somalia sanctions regime, addressing the partial lifting of the arms embargo on Somali security forces, the authorisation for maritime interdiction to enforce the embargo on illicit arms imports and charcoal exports, and humanitarian exemptions to the sanctions regime, all of which expire on 15 November. The mandate review of the Somalia Panel of Experts, which expires on 15 December, is also due in November. Read more

  • DPRK (North Korea) 

    In November, the chair of the 1718 Democratic People’s Republic of Korea (DPRK) Sanctions Committee, Ambassador Christoph Heusgen (Germany), is expected to brief Council members in consultations on the 90-day report about the committee’s work. Read more

  • Sudan/South Sudan

    In November, the Council expects to renew the mandate of the UN Interim Security Force for Abyei (UNISFA). The Council is also expected to extend the mission’s support for the Joint Border Verification and Monitoring Mechanism (JBVMM), established in 2011 to conduct monitoring and verification activities along the Sudan-South Sudan border. The mandate of UNISFA and the mission’s support to the JBVMM expire on 15 November. Read more

  • Central African Republic

    In November, the Council is expected to renew the mandate of the UN Multidimensional Integrated Stabilization Mission in the Central African Republic (MINUSCA), which expires on 15 November. Read more

  • Reconciliation

    In November, the Council is expected to hold an open debate on reconciliation. At press time, no formal outcome was anticipated. Read more

  • Group of Five for the Sahel

    In November, the Council expects a briefing on the Joint Force of the Group of Five for the Sahel (FC-G5S), which Burkina Faso, Chad, Mali, Mauritania and Niger (G5 Sahel) decided to establish in February 2017 to combat terrorist and criminal groups in the region. Prior to the briefing, members expect the Secretary-General’s report on the activities of the FC-G5S, which the Council requested to receive every six months in resolution 2391. Read more

  • Lebanon

    In November, the Council expects to receive the Secretary-General’s report on the implementation of resolution 1701, which called for a cessation of hostilities between the Shi’a militant group Hezbollah and Israel in 2006. Briefings in consultations are expected from Ján Kubiš, UN Special Coordinator for Lebanon, and a representative of the Department of Peace Operations. Read more

  • Yemen

    In November, the Council will receive its monthly briefing on Yemen from Special Envoy Martin Griffiths. Under-Secretary-General for Humanitarian Affairs Mark Lowcock and General Abhijit Guha, the chair of the Redeployment Coordination Committee (RCC) and head of the UN Mission to Support the Hodeidah Agreement (UNMHA), are also likely to brief. Read more

  • Cyprus

    In November, the Secretary-General is due to present to the Council the report on his good offices in Cyprus as requested by resolution 2483. Council members are expected to receive a briefing from a representative of the Department of Political and Peacebuilding Affairs. Read more

  • Iraq

    In November, the Council is expected to receive a briefing from Karim Asad Ahmad Khan, the Special Adviser and head of UNITAD. His third report to the Council is due in November. The Secretary-General’s reports on the UN Assistance Mission in Iraq (UNAMI) and on the issue of missing Kuwaiti and third-country nationals and missing Kuwaiti property, including the national archives, are also due in November. UNITAD’s mandate expires on 21 September 2020. UNAMI’s mandate expires on 31 May 2020. Read more

  • Central African Republic

    In January, the Council is expected to renew the sanctions regime imposed on the Central African Republic (CAR) and the mandate of the Panel of Experts assisting the CAR Sanctions Committee. Read more

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