May 2012 Monthly Forecast

Posted 30 April 2012
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  • Overview

    Azerbaijan will hold the presidency of the Security Council in May. Early in the month, a high-level event on threats to international peace and security caused by terrorist acts is planned, with President of Azerbaijan Ilham Aliyev expected to preside. Other Council members may be represented by ministerial-level officials. The Secretary-General will brief the Council. Read more

  • Status Update

    Status Update of Security Council Activity in April 2012. Read more

  • Notable Dates

    Notable dates for May 2012. Read more

  • Lebanon

    In May, Council members are expecting the usual semi-annual briefing in consultations by Special Envoy Terje Rød-Larsen on the Secretary-General's report on the implementation of resolution 1559. This resolution, adopted in 2004, urged the disarmament of all Lebanese and non-Lebanese militias and the extension of government control over all Lebanese territory. Read more

  • Yemen

    In May, the Council is expecting a briefing in consultations on the situation in Yemen by the Secretary-General's Special Adviser, Jamal Benomar. (Benomar has been briefing the Council regularly since the adoption of resolution 2014 on 21 October 2011.) Read more

  • DPRK (North Korea)

    The chair of the Democratic People's Republic of Korea (DPRK) Sanctions Committee (1718 Committee), Ambassador José Filipe Moraes Cabral (Portugal), is expected to provide the Council with a regular quarterly briefing in informal consultations in May. Read more

  • Liberia

    The Council is planning to visit to Liberia late in May, as part of a trip to three West African states. The special report of the Secretary-General on the UN Mission in Liberia (UNMIL), which was submitted in April under the terms of resolution 2025, was initially expected to be discussed in May, but its discussion is now likely to be postponed till after the trip. A midterm report of the Panel of Experts monitoring the implementation of the Liberia sanctions regime renewed by the Council on 14 December 2011 is due by end of May.     Read more

  • Somalia

    In May, the Council is expected to consider the AU report on the implementation of the mandate of the AU Mission in Somalia (AMISOM) (due 18 May), as requested by resolution 2036, as well as the Secretary-General's regular report on Somalia (due 30 April). Special Representative of the Secretary-General, Augustine Mahiga, and Under-Secretary-General for Political Affairs, B. Lynn Pascoe, are expected to brief. Council members are also likely to hold informal consultations. At press time it was unclear whether there would be any outcome. Read more

  • Counter-Terrorism

    In May, the chairs of the counter-terrorism-related committees—the 1267/1989 Committee, the Counter-Terrorism Committee (1373 or CTC) and the 1540 Committee, concerning weapons of mass destruction—are expected to brief the Council. No outcome is anticipated. Read more

  • Kosovo

    In May, the Council is scheduled to hold a quarterly debate on the UN Mission in Kosovo (UNMIK). Farid Zarif, the Special Representative and head of UNMIK, is expected to brief the Council on developments and the latest Secretary-General's report, which was due on 27 April. Read more

  • UNSMIS (Syria)

    In May, Council members are expected to follow closely the implementation of resolution 2043, which established the UN Supervision Mission in Syria (UNSMIS) and requested the Secretary-General to report to the Council within 15 days and every 15 days thereafter. Read more

  • Libya

    In May, the Council is expected to be briefed by Ian Martin, the Special Representative of the Secretary-General and head of the UN Support Mission in Libya (UNSMIL) on the latest developments in Libya. Read more

  • Bosnia and Herzegovina

    The Council is due to hold a six-monthly debate on Bosnia and Herzegovina in May. Valentin Inzko, the High Representative for Bosnia and Herzegovina, is expected to brief the Council on his latest report (covering the period from 16 October 2011 to 15 April), including on the implementation of the 1995 General Framework Agreement for Peace, more commonly known as the "Dayton Agreement". Read more

  • In Hindsight: Security Council Press Statement

    Over the past two years or so, the Security Council has on several occasions chosen to communicate a set of complex political messages through press statements rather than a presidential statement or a resolution. The only mode of communication of Council decisions or views that is recognised in the Council's Provisional Rules of Procedure is a resolution. Read more

  • Sudan and South Sudan

    In May, the Council will likely renew the mandate of the UN Interim Security Force in Abyei (UNISFA), which expires on 27 May. Additional Council meetings on Sudan-South Sudan issues may occur, given the sharp deterioration of relations between the two countries in April. At press time, it appeared that the Council might begin negotiating a resolution on this matter. Read more

  • High-Level Event on Threats to International Peace and Security Caused by Terrorist Attacks

    In May, the Council is expected to hold a high-level event on threats to international peace and security caused by terrorist acts. Azerbaijan President Ilham Aliyev is expected to preside; other Council members may be represented by high-level officials. Read more

  • Council Visiting Mission to West Africa

    A Council mission will visit West Africa during the week of 21 May. Read more

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