Lebanon

  • July 2009

    Lebanon

    Monthly Forecast

    A Secretary-General’s report on resolution 1701, which in 2006 called for an end to the conflict between Israel and Hezbollah in Lebanon, is due at the end of June. Council consultations are expected in early July. The focus of Council attention is likely to be the political situation in Lebanon following the recent parliamentary elections.

  • May 2009

    Lebanon

    Monthly Forecast

    On 7 May the Council is expected to discuss the latest Secretary-General’s report on implementation of resolution 1559, which in 2004 urged the disarmament of all Lebanese and non-Lebanese militias and the extension of government control over all Lebanese territory.

  • March 2009

    Lebanon

    Monthly Forecast

    A report of the Secretary-General on the implementation of resolution 1701 will be before the Council in March. A briefing by the Special Coordinator for Lebanon, Michael Williams, is expected. At press time, there were no signs that the Council would take any significant action. On 1 March the Special Tribunal for Lebanon is scheduled to begin functioning.

  • February 2009

    Lebanon

    Monthly Forecast

    Lebanon will be on Council members’ minds in February because the mandate of the UN International Independent Investigation Commission (UNIIIC), considering the murder of former Lebanese Prime Minister Rafiq Hariri, is due to expire. However, the Council is expected to let it lapse.

  • December 2008

    Lebanon

    Monthly Forecast

    Early in December, the Council will receive a report from the UN International Independent Investigation Commission on the murder of former Lebanese Prime Minister Rafik Hariri and others. The Council is expected to receive a public briefing from the Chief Investigator, Daniel Bellemare, and hold consultations, on 16 December.

  • November 2008

    Lebanon

    Monthly Forecast

    A report on resolution 1701 is expected in November. But it is unclear whether the Council intends to meet to discuss it (it will have heard a briefing by Special Envoy for implementation of resolution 1559 Terje Rød-Larsen on 30 October).

  • October 2008

    Lebanon

    Monthly Forecast

    The next report of the Secretary-General’s Special Envoy for implementation of resolution 1559 is due mid-October. The Council is expected to hold consultations. It was unclear at press time whether the Council could agree that the recent positive developments should be welcomed.

  • August 2008

    Lebanon

    Monthly Forecast

    The mandate of the UN Interim Force in Lebanon (UNIFIL) expires on 31 August. The Council is expected to extend it for another year.

  • July 2008

    Lebanon

    Monthly Forecast

    The Council in July will consider the Secretary-General’s report on resolution 1701, which ended the conflict between Hezbollah and Israel in 2006.

  • June 2008

    Lebanon

    Monthly Forecast

    The Council is expected to renew for another six months the mandate of the UN International Independent Investigation Commission (UNIIIC) of the murder of former Lebanese Prime Minister Rafik Hariri and others. This expires on 15 June. The Council received a letter from the Lebanese government on 16 May expressing the hope that the Council would extend the mandate until 31 December.

  • 14 May 2008

    Update Report No. 3 Lebanon

    Update Report

    It seems possible that the Council will take up the situation in Lebanon in the coming days.  More than sixty people were killed in recent armed clashes between followers of the government majority led by the Future Movement (a Sunni Muslim organization) and those of the Syria-backed Hezbollah and Amal-led opposition (a   

  • April 2008

    Lebanon

    Monthly Forecast

    In April the Council will discuss a report from the UN International Independent Investigation Commission (UNIIIC) on the murder of former Lebanese Prime Minister Rafik Hariri. The report is expected on 27 March. (The UNIIIC mandate expires in June.)

  • March 2008

    Lebanon

    Monthly Forecast

    The Council in March will hold consultations on the Secretary-General’s report, due in late February, on implementing resolution 1701 of August 2006, which ended the war between Hezbollah and Israel. Lebanon’s domestic political crisis has deepened, and this is likely to be on the minds of Council members as well.

  • February 2008

    Lebanon

    Monthly Forecast

    The Council will continue to follow events in Lebanon closely, particularly the ongoing negotiations regarding the presidential election. The Council’s position on the need to resolve the impasse quickly is clearly on record. Further Council action is only expected in February in the event of specific adverse incidents.

  • December 2007

    Lebanon

    Monthly Forecast

    At press time Council action on Lebanon was very hard to predict because of the failure of the Lebanese parties to elect a president to replace Emile Lahoud who left office on 24 November. A further complicating factor was the delay in holding consultations on resolution 1701. Political developments in Lebanon could lead to all these matters being taken up in December.