July 2021 Monthly Forecast

Posted 30 June 2021
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  • Overview  

    In July, France will have the presidency of the Security Council.  Read more

  • In Hindsight: The UN Security Council and Climate Change 

    In recent years, few thematic issues addressed by the Security Council have aroused as much attention, or controversy, as climate change and security. While it is not a formal agenda item, climate change and security has increasingly become a focus of signature events spearheaded by Council presidents. More and more, the Council is also emphasising the need for risk assessments and risk management strategies for climate change and ecological changes Read more

  • Status Update since our June Forecast

    West Africa and the Sahel  On 2 June, Security Council members held an Arria-formula meeting on “strengthening an integrated approach to peace and security in the Sahel through a gendered lens”, at which the Group of Friends of Women of... Read more

  • Syria

    In July, the Security Council expects to hold its monthly meetings on the political and humanitarian situations and the use of chemical weapons in Syria. The cross-border humanitarian assistance delivery mechanism through the Bab al-Hawa border crossing on the Syrian-Turkish border, as mandated by resolution 2533 of 11 July 2020, expires on 10 July. The Council is expected to vote on a draft resolution to renew the delivery of cross-border aid. Read more

  • Democratic Republic of the Congo

    In July, the Security Council will convene to discuss the situation in the Democratic Republic of the Congo (DRC). The Special Representative and head of the UN Stabilization Mission in the Democratic Republic of the Congo (MONUSCO), Bintou Keita, is expected to brief on the latest report of the Secretary-General detailing the situation in the DRC and on progress by MONUSCO towards implementing its mandate. Read more

  • West Africa and the Sahel

    In July, the Security Council will hold its biannual briefing on West Africa and the Sahel. The Special Representative and head of the UN Office for West Africa and the Sahel (UNOWAS), Mahamat Saleh Annadif, is expected to brief. Read more

  • Colombia

    In July, the Security Council is expected to receive a briefing from Special Representative and head of the UN Verification Mission in Colombia Carlos Ruiz Massieu on recent developments and the Secretary-General’s latest 90-day report on the mission, which was issued on 25 June. Read more

  • Yemen

    In July, the Security Council will hold its monthly briefing on Yemen, followed by consultations. It is also expected to renew the mandate of the UN Mission to Support the Hodeidah Agreement (UNMHA), which expires on 15 July. Read more

  • Libya

    In July, the Security Council is expected to convene a ministerial-level meeting to discuss the situation in Libya and the UN Support Mission for Libya (UNSMIL). As France is the Security Council President for July, the French Minister for Europe and Foreign Affairs, Jean-Yves Le Drian, will chair the meeting. Usually during the periodic session on Libya, the Special Representative and head of UNSMIL, Ján Kubiš, briefs, but because of the high-level nature of the meeting, Secretary-General António Guterres or Under-Secretary-General Rosemary DiCarlo are expected to brief. The chair of the 1970 Libya Sanctions Committee, Ambassador T.S. Tirumurti, the Permanent Representative of India, may also present the committee’s report on its activities during the past 60 days. Read more

  • Cyprus

    In July, the Council is expected to renew the mandate of the UN Peacekeeping Force in Cyprus (UNFICYP) ahead of its 31 July expiry. Special Representative and head of mission Elizabeth Spehar is expected to brief the Council on the latest UNFICYP report, as well as recent developments, in closed consultations. A representative from the Department of Political and Peacebuilding Affairs may also brief.  Read more

  • Preserving Humanitarian Space

    In July, France is organising a ministerial level briefing on preserving humanitarian space as a signature event of its presidency. The meeting is expected to be held in person. Jean-Yves Le Drian, France’s Minister for Europe and Foreign Affairs, will chair the meeting. Secretary-General António Guterres and Robert Mardini, the Director-General of the International Committee of the Red Cross, are expected to brief the Council. Lucile Grosjean, the Delegate Director of Advocacy at Action Against Hunger, is also expected to brief. Read more

  • Lebanon

    In July, Security Council members expect to receive a briefing in consultations on the Secretary-General’s report on the implementation of resolution 1701, due on 12 July. Adopted in 2006, resolution 1701 called for a cessation of hostilities between the Shi’a militant group Hezbollah and Israel. Briefings are expected from Special Coordinator for Lebanon Joanna Wronecka—who was appointed on 1 April and will provide her first briefing in this position—and Under-Secretary-General for Peacekeeping Operations Jean-Pierre Lacroix. Read more

  • UNRCCA (Central Asia) 

    In July, the Special Representative and head of the UN Regional Centre for Preventive Diplomacy for Central Asia (UNRCCA), Natalia Gherman, is expected to brief Security Council members in closed consultations on UNRCCA’s activities. The consultations are expected to be held in person.  Read more

  • Sudan

    In July, the Security Council will receive an oral briefing on the drawdown and closure of the AU/UN Hybrid Operation in Darfur (UNAMID), as requested in resolution 2559.   Read more

  • The Middle East, including the Palestinian Question

    In July, the Security Council will hold its quarterly open debate on “The situation in the Middle East, including the Palestinian Question”. Special Coordinator for the Middle East Peace Process Tor Wennesland is expected to brief.   Read more

  • Central African Republic

    In July, the Council is expected to renew the sanctions measures imposed on the Central African Republic (CAR) pursuant to resolution 2127, which expires at the end of the month. The mandate of the Panel of Experts supporting the 2127 CAR Sanctions Committee, which expires on 31 August, is also expected to be renewed in July. Read more

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