May 2018 Monthly Forecast

Posted 30 April 2018
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  • Overview

    Poland will hold the presidency of the Council in May. Read more

  • In Hindsight: The Security Council’s Interaction with the High Commissioner for Human Rights

    In March, an event took place that has raised a number of questions about the relationship of the Security Council with the High Commissioner for Human Rights. Read more

  • Syria

    In May, the Council expects to receive the monthly briefings on political and humanitarian developments in Syria and on the use of chemical weapons. Read more

  • Bosnia and Herzegovina

    In May, the Council will hold its biannual debate on Bosnia and Herzegovina (BiH). The High Representative for BiH, Valentin Inzko, will brief, presenting the latest report of the Office of the High Representative (OHR). Read more

  • South Sudan

    In May, the Council will be briefed on the UN Mission in South Sudan (UNMISS) and the South Sudan sanctions regime, followed by consultations. The Council is also expected to adopt a resolution renewing the South Sudan sanctions regime and the mandate of the 2206 South Sudan Sanctions Committee’s Panel of Experts, both of which expire on 31 May. Council members expect to receive the monthly report from the Secretary-General on violations of the Status of Forces Agreement or obstructions to UNMISS, as requested in resolution 2406. Read more

  • Sudan/South Sudan

    In May, the Council is expected to renew the mandate of the UN Interim Security Force for Abyei (UNISFA) prior to its 15 May expiration. Read more

  • Libya

    In May, the Council is expected to receive briefings by the Special Representative and head of the UN Support Mission in Libya (UNSMIL), Ghassan Salamé, and the chair of the 1970 Libya Sanctions Committee, Ambassador Olof Skoog (Sweden), followed by consultations. Also this month, ICC Prosecutor Fatou Bensouda will deliver her semi-annual briefing on recent developments concerning cases in Libya. Read more

  • Peacekeeping

    In May, the Council will be briefed on aspects of UN peacekeeping by three heads of military components of UN peace operations: Lieutenant General Leonard Ngondi, Force Commander of the AU/UN Hybrid Operation in Darfur; Major General Jean-Paul Deconinck, Force Commander of the UN Multidimensional Integrated Stabilization Mission in Mali; and Lieutenant General Frank Mushyo Kamanzi, Force Commander of the UN Mission in South Sudan. Under-Secretary-General for Peacekeeping Operations Jean-Pierre Lacroix is also expected to address the Council. Read more

  • Status Update

    Status Update since our April Forecast. Read more

  • Sudan (Darfur)

    In May, the Security Council will be briefed on the 60-day report of the Secretary-General on the AU/UN Hybrid Operation in Darfur (UNAMID). The mandate of UNAMID expires on 30 June. Read more

  • Kosovo

    In May, the Council is expected to hold its quarterly briefing on the situation in Kosovo. The Special Representative and head of UNMIK, Zahir Tanin, will brief on recent developments and the latest report by the Secretary-General. As on several previous occasions, Serbia is likely to participate at a high level while Kosovo will probably be represented by its ambassador to the US. Read more

  • Lebanon

    In May, the Council expects to receive the semi-annual briefing on the latest report on the implementation of resolution 1559. Adopted in 2004, resolution 1559 called for the disarmament of all militias and the extension of government control over all Lebanese territory. Read more

  • Somalia

    In May, the Council is expected to renew its authorisation of the AU Mission in Somalia (AMISOM), which expires on 31 May. The Council will also receive a briefing on the UN Assistance Mission in Somalia (UNSOM), which will be followed by consultations. The mandate of UNSOM expires on 27 March 2019. Read more

  • Counter-Terrorism

    In May, the Council is scheduled to receive its annual briefing from the chairs of its counter-terrorism-related committees. The briefers will be Ambassador Kairat Umarov (Kazakhstan), chair of the 1267/1989/2253 Islamic State in Iraq and the Levant (ISIL) (Da’esh) and Al-Qaida Sanctions Committee; Ambassador Gustavo Meza-Cuadra (Peru), chair of the 1373 Counter-Terrorism Committee (CTC); and Ambassador Sacha Sergio Llorenty Solíz (Bolivia), chair of the 1540 Committee, which focuses on the non-proliferation of weapons of mass destruction. Read more

  • Guinea-Bissau

    In May, the Council is expecting a briefing on Guinea-Bissau. This will be an oral update from the Secretariat, which the Council requested in its 28 February resolution extending the mandate of the UN Integrated Peacebuilding Office in Guinea-Bissau (UNIOGBIS) for a year. Read more

  • Rule of Law

    An open debate on the maintenance of international peace and security with an emphasis on the Council’s role in upholding international law within the context of peace and security is planned in May. The Secretary-General is expected to brief the Council, and Poland’s president, Andrzej Duda, is expected to preside. No outcome is expected, but a note summarising the debate will be circulated to the wider membership. Read more

  • Protection of Civilians

    In May, the Council will hold a ministerial-level open debate on the protection of civilians in armed conflict. Prior to the debate, it expects to receive the Secretary-General’s report on this topic. Themes expected to be raised in the report—and inform the debate—include measures to enhance compliance with international humanitarian and human rights law and the protection of health care in armed conflict. Foreign Minister Jacek Czaputowicz of Poland, the Council president this month, will chair the meeting. Briefers are expected to include Secretary-General António Guterres; Yves Daccord, the Director-General of the ICRC; and a civil society representative. A chair’s summary of the meeting that captures concrete proposals for possible Council follow-up is expected to be circulated to the Council and the wider UN membership. Read more

  • G5 Sahel Joint Force

    In May, the Council is expected to receive a briefing from Jean-Pierre Lacroix, Under-Secretary-General for Peacekeeping Operations, on the activities of the joint force of the Group of Five for the Sahel (G5 Sahel), or FC-G5S. Read more

  • Burundi

    In May, the Secretary-General’s Special Envoy, Michel Kafando, is expected to brief the Council on the Secretary-General’s latest report on the situation in Burundi. The chair of the Peacebuilding Commission’s Burundi Configuration, Ambassador Jürg Lauber (Switzerland), may also brief. Read more

  • Iraq

    In May, the Special Representative and head of UNAMI, Ján Kubiš, will brief the Council on the Secretary-General’s report on UNAMI and the most recent developments. Read more

  • DPRK (North Korea)

    In May, the chair of the 1718 DPRK Sanctions Committee, Ambassador Karel van Oosterom (Netherlands), is due to provide Council members with his 90-day briefing on the work of the committee. Read more

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