November 2017 Monthly Forecast

• Overview

  Italy will have the presidency in November. Read more

• Status Update

  Status Update since our October Forecast. Read more

• In Hindsight: Children and Armed Conflict

  The children and armed conflict agenda has had a difficult few years. Increasingly complex crisis have led to a deteriorating situation for children in conflict situations and a rise in violations against them. Read more

• Iraq

  In November, the Special Representative of the Secretary-General and head of UNAMI, Ján Kubiš, will brief the Council on the Secretary-General’s report on UNAMI and the most recent developments. The Council also expects to receive from the Secretary-General for its approval the terms of reference for an investigative team on accountability for crimes committed in Iraq by ISIL mandated by resolution 2379. The mandate of UNAMI expires on 31 July 2018. Read more

• Briefing by the High Commissioner for Refugees

  In November, UN High Commissioner for Refugees Filippo Grandi will brief the Council. He is expected to address the global refugee crisis and the displacement aspect of various conflicts on the Security Council agenda. The briefing will take place under the agenda item “Briefing by the United Nations High Commissioner for Refugees”, which allows for a general briefing by the High Commissioner without tying it to a specific situation on the Council agenda. No outcome is expected. Read more

• Central African Republic

  In November, the Council will renew the mandate of the UN Multidimensional Integrated Stabilization Mission in the Central African Republic (MINUSCA), which expires on 15 November. Read more

• Somalia and Eritrea

  In November, the Council is expected to adopt a resolution on Somalia and Eritrea sanctions that will address the partial lifting of the arms embargo, authorisation for maritime interdiction of illicit arms imports and charcoal exports, and the humanitarian exemption, which all expire on 15 November. The 120-day briefing by the chair of the 751/1901 Somalia and Eritrea Sanctions Committee, Kairat Umarov (Kazakhstan), is expected. The mandate review of the Somalia and Eritrea Monitoring Group (SEMG) is also due in November. Finally, the Council is scheduled to adopt a resolution renewing counter-piracy measures. Read more

• Bosnia and Herzegovina

  In November, the Council is expected to hold a debate on Bosnia and Herzegovina (BiH) and to renew the authorisation of the EU-led multinational stabilisation force (EUFOR ALTHEA). High Representative Valentin Inzko is expected to brief on his office’s latest report. Read more

• Syria

  In November, Council members expect to receive the monthly briefings on political and humanitarian developments in Syria. Regarding chemical weapons, Council members are expected to consider the final report of the JIM of the OPCW and the UN on the Khan Shaykhun and Um Housh attacks, as well as the renewal of the JIM, which expires on 17 November. Read more

• Libya/Security Challenges in the Mediterranean

  n November, the Council is expected to receive briefings from the Special Representative and head of the UNSMIL, Ghassan Salamé, and from the chair of the 1970 Libya Sanctions Committee, Ambassador Olof Skoog (Sweden). Also this month, ICC Prosecutor Fatou Bensouda will deliver her semi-annual briefing on recent developments concerning cases in Libya. During its presidency, Italy is planning to hold a ministerial-level briefing on security challenges in the Mediterranean. UNSMIL’s mandate expires on 15 September 2018, and the mandate of the Panel of Experts assisting the 1970 Libya Sanctions Committee expires on 15 November 2018. Read more

• International Court of Justice

  In November, the Security Council and General Assembly will elect five judges to the International Court of Justice (ICJ). The judges will each serve a term of nine years commencing on 6 February 2018. Read more

• Burundi

  In November, the Secretary-General’s Special Envoy, Michel Kafando, will brief the Council on the situation in Burundi. Read more

• Sudan (Darfur)

  In November, the Security Council will hold a briefing on the 60-day report of the Secretary-General on the AU/UN Hybrid Operation in Darfur (UNAMID). The mandate of UNAMID expires on 30 June 2018. Read more

• Sudan/South Sudan

  In November, the Council is expected to renew the mandate of the UN Interim Security Force for Abyei (UNISFA) prior to its 15 November expiration. Read more

• Kosovo

  In November, the Council is expected to hold its quarterly briefing on the situation in Kosovo. Zahir Tanin, the Special Representative and head of UNMIK, will brief on recent developments and the latest report by the Secretary-General. As on several previous occasions, Serbia is likely to participate at a high level while Kosovo will probably be represented by its ambassador to the US. Read more

• South Sudan

  In November, the Council is expected to receive a briefing on the UN Mission in South Sudan (UNMISS) and the situation in the country. Consultations will follow the briefing. The mandate of UNMISS expires on 15 December. Read more

• Lebanon

  In November, Special Coordinator for Lebanon Sigrid Kaag and a representative of the Department of Peacekeeping Operations will brief Council members in consultations on the Secretary-General’s report on the implementation of resolution 1701, which called for a cessation of hostilities between the Shi’a militant group Hezbollah and Israel in 2006. The Council will also receive the semi-annual briefing on the latest report on the implementation of resolution 1559. The mandate of UNIFIL expires on 31 August 2018. Read more

• Protection of Cultural Heritage in Armed Conflict

  In November, the Security Council may hold an open debate or a briefing on the protection of cultural heritage in armed conflict and from terrorists, in accordance with resolution 2347. Read more

• Democratic Republic of the Congo

  In November, the Security Council will continue to follow developments in the Democratic Republic of the Congo (DRC) closely in light of the fragile political, security and humanitarian situation. During the month, the Council expects to receive the 45-day written update of the Secretary General “on political and technical progress and obstacles to the implementation of the 31 December 2016 agreement”, as per resolution 2348. Read more