December 2013 Monthly Forecast

Posted 27 November 2013
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  • Overview

    France will preside over the Security Council in December. Read more

  • Status Update

    Recent developments on situtions covered in this Forecast are in the relevant briefs. Interesting developments on other issues are included in this Status Update of Security Council activity in November 2013. Read more

  • Notable Dates for December

    Notable Dates for December Read more

  • In Hindsight: Appointment of Chairs of Subsidiary Bodies

    Who will chair each of almost two dozen subsidiary bodies of the Security Council (see the insert in this Forecast on Security Council Subsidiary Bodies: An Overview) is a question on many minds this time of the year.  Read more

  • Central African Republic

    In December, the Security Council may adopt a resolution authorising and supporting the AU International Support Mission to the Central African Republic, referred to as MISCA. The mandate of the UN Integrated Peacebuilding Office in the CAR expires on 31 January 2014. Read more

  • UNOWA

    In December the Security Council will have a briefing and consultations on the UN Office in West Africa (UNOWA). The Council will also hold a high-level meeting on drug trafficking and transnational organised crime in West Africa and the Sahel, in which the Secretary-General’s June report on the subject will be considered. At both meetings the Secretary-General’s Special Representative and head of UNOWA, Said Djinnit, will brief the Council.  Read more

  • Liberia

    In December the Council will be briefed by the chair of the 1521 Liberia Sanctions Committee, Ambassador Masood Khan (Pakistan) on the final report of the Panel of Experts (PoE). The Council is likely to adopt a resolution renewing sanctions, lifting some of them. The resolution will also likely renew the mandate of the PoE, which expires on December 13, though the mandate could see changes. Read more

  • Peace and Security in Africa

    In December, the Council expects a briefing by the Secretary- General’s Special Envoy for the Sahel, Romano Prodi, on the implementation of the UN integrated strategy for the Sahel, as requested in a 16 July presidential statement.  Read more

  • Libya

    In December, the Security Council expects a briefing by Tarek Mitri, the Special Representative of the Secretary-General and head of the UN Support Mission in Libya (UNSMIL), followed by consultations. The Council will also receive the periodic briefing by the chair of the 1970 Libya Sanctions Committee, Ambassador Eugène-Richard Gasana (Rwanda), and hold consultations on the Libya sanctions. Read more

  • Sudan and South Sudan

    In December, the Council expects to hold one meeting in consultations on Sudan-South Sudan issues and the implementation of resolution 2046, which provided a roadmap for Sudan, South Sudan and the Sudan People’s Liberation Movement-North (SPLM-N) to resolve their differences. Read more

  • Sudan (Darfur)

    In December, the Council expects to receive the semi-annual briefing by the Prosecutor of the International Criminal Court (ICC), Fatou Bensouda, about the Court’s work on Darfur. At press time, no Council outcome was anticipated on this issue.  Read more

  • Somalia

    In December, the Council will receive a briefing on the second quarterly report of the Secretary-General regarding the UN Assistance Mission in Somalia (UNSOM), which is due 2 December. Council members are scheduled to have consultations following the briefing. An outcome is not expected.     Read more

  • Syria

    In December, Council members will follow-up the implementation of resolution 2118, which required the verifiable destruction of Syria’s chemical weapons, as well as implementation of the 2 October presidential statement on humanitarian access in Syria. Council members will also be closely following preparations for the 22 January 2014 Geneva II peace talks.  Read more

  • UNDOF (Golan Heights)

    The Council is expected to extend for six months the UNDOF mandate that expires on 31 December. (UNDOF was established in 1974 to monitor the ceasefire between Israel and Syria.) Read more

  • Iran

    In December, the chair of the 1737 Iran Sanctions Committee, Ambassador Gary Quinlan (Australia), is due to present his quarterly briefing on the Committee’s work to the Council. Read more

  • Afghanistan

    In December, the Council will hold its quarterly debate on the situation in Afghanistan. Ján Kubiš, Special Representative of the Secretary-General and head of the UN Assistance Mission in Afghanistan (UNAMA), is expected to brief. At press time, no outcome was anticipated. UNAMA’s mandate expires on 19 March 2014. Read more

  • Counter-Terrorism

    The Council is expected in December to adopt a resolution renewing the mandate of the Counter-Terrorism Executive Directorate (CTED), the Secretariat body that assists the 1373 Counter-Terrorism Committee (CTC). The CTC plans to submit a report to the Council in December on the CTED’s work to date. Read more

  • International Criminal Tribunals

    In December, the Security Council will hold its semi-annual debate on the ad hoc international criminal tribunals. The presidents and prosecutors of the International Criminal Tribunal for the former Yugoslavia and the International Criminal Tribunal for Rwanda are expected to brief the Council. Read more

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