November 2014 Monthly Forecast

Posted 30 October 2014
Download Complete Forecast: PDF
  • Overview

    Australia will hold the presidency of the Security Council in November. Read more

  • Notable Dates for November

    Notable dates for November Read more

  • Status Update

    Recent development on situations covered in this Forecast are in the relevant briefs. Interesting developments on other issues are included in this Status Update of Security Council activity in October 2014. Read more

  • Counter-Terrorism

    In November, the Council expects to hold an open debate on global efforts to counter terrorism and violent extremism and on the implementation of resolutions 2170 and 2178 on the growing threat of foreign terrorist fighters. Australian Foreign Minister Julie Bishop is expected to preside.  Expected to brief on UN counter-terrorism efforts are the Secretary-General and the chairs of the 1267/1989 Al-Qaida Sanctions Committee, Ambassador Gary Quinlan (Australia) and the 1373 Counter-Terrorism Committee (CTC), Ambassador Raimonda Murmokaite (Lithuania). The adoption of a presidential statement is the likely outcome. Read more

  • Iraq

    Special Representative Nickolay Mladenov will brief the Council on the prospects for the effort by Iraqi forces and a US-led coalition to successfully neutralize the threat of ISIS. Deliberations will also focus on the newly formed Shi’a-led government and Baghdad’s strained relationship with Iraq’s Sunni and Kurdish population. The alarming human rights situation in Iraq will also likely receive attention, with a briefing by the UN High Commissioner for Human Rights Zeid Ra'ad Al Hussein. Read more

  • Burundi

    In November, the Special Representative and head BNUB, Parfait Onanga-Anyanga, will brief the Council. Paul Seger (Switzerland), the chair of the Burundi configuration of the Peacebuilding Commission, will also brief. Read more

  • Liberia

    As requested in resolution 2176, the Council is scheduled to be briefed prior to 15 November on the situation in Liberia, particularly regarding the Ebola crisis and the UN Mission in Liberia (UNMIL). The briefers are likely to include Under-Secretary-General for Peacekeeping Operations Hervé Ladsous and Ambassador Mårten Grunditz (Sweden), chair of the Liberia configuration of the Peacebuilding Commission. The briefing will be followed by consultations. Read more

  • South Sudan

    The Council is expected to renew the mandate of the UN Mission in South Sudan (UNMISS) prior to its 30 November expiration. Given the fluid situation on the ground, it is possible that the Council may hold one or more additional meetings to discuss South Sudan during the month. Read more

  • Sudan (Darfur)

    In November, Ambassador María Cristina Perceval (Argentina), chair of the 1591 Sudan Sanctions Committee, is expected to provide the Council with the quarterly briefing on the Committee’s work.   Read more

  • Somalia

    In November, the Council is expected to adopt a resolution renewing counter-piracy measures for Somalia, due to expire on 18 November.  Read more

  • Guinea-Bissau

    In November, the Council is expected to extend the mandate of the UN Integrated Peacebuilding Office in Guinea-Bissau (UNIOGBIS), which expires on 30 November. Read more

  • Libya

    In November, ICC Prosecutor Fatou Bensouda will deliver her semi-annual briefing on recent developments concerning cases in Libya. Read more

  • Syria

    Special Adviser Sigrid Kaag will brief on the destruction of Syria’s chemical weapons. Later in the month, Under-Secretary-General for Humanitarian Affairs Valerie Amos will brief on the humanitarian situation in Syria. Read more

  • Lebanon

    In November, Special Coordinator for Lebanon Derek Plumbly will brief Council members in consultations on the Secretary-General’s report on the implementation of resolution 1701, which called for a cessation of hostilities between Hezbollah and Israel in 2006. Read more

  • UN Policing

    At the initiative of Australia, Under-Secretary-General for Peacekeeping Operations Hervé Ladsous will brief on cross-cutting thematic issues in UN policing. The Council will also hear from three heads of police components of UN missions. The adoption of the first stand-alone resolution on UN policing is the likely outcome. Read more

  • Sanctions

    At the initiative of Council President Australia, the Council is scheduled to be briefed on sanctions in November, most likely by Under-Secretary-General for Political Affairs Jeffrey Feltman and incoming Interpol Secretary-General Jürgen Stock. A resolution is a potential outcome.  Read more

  • Kosovo

    In November, the Council will hold its quarterly debate on Kosovo. Farid Zarif, the Special Representative and head of the UN Interim Administration Mission in Kosovo (UNMIK), is expected to present the latest Secretary-General’s report. High-level participation in the debate from both Serbia and Kosovo is likely. Read more

  • DPRK (North Korea)

    In November, the chair of the 1718 Democratic People’s Republic of Korea (DPRK) Sanctions Committee, Ambassador Sylvie Lucas (Luxembourg), is due to brief Council members in consultations on the work of the Committee. Read more

  • Bosnia and Herzegovina

    In November, the Council is expected to hold its semi-annual debate on BosnIn November, the Council is expected to hold its semi-annual debate on Bosnia and Herzegovina and to renew the authorisation for the EU-led multinational stabilisation force (EUFOR ALTHEA) for a year. At the debate, High Representative Valentin Inzko is expected to brief on recent developments and present his office’s latest report to the Council. Read more

  • International Court of Justice

    The Security Council and General Assembly will hold elections for the International Court of Justice (ICJ) on 6 November. Five judges will need to be elected to the ICJ, each for a term of nine years commencing on 6 February 2015. Read more

Download Complete Forecast: PDF