December 2009 Monthly Forecast

Overview

Burkina Faso will have the Council presidency in December. An open debate is planned for 8 December on the topic of drug trafficking as a threat to international security to be presided by the Foreign Minister of Burkina Faso, Alain Yoda. Although the debate was initially inspired by linked drugs and security problems in West Africa, it is expected to take a global approach and look at the drugs and security nexus in various parts of the world.

December is always a very busy month. Nine mandates will expire. Renewal resolutions are expected on the following six mandates:

The mandate of the UN Peacebuilding Support Office in Central African Republic (BONUCA) also expires in December but no renewal is required. It is to be succeeded by a UN Integrated Peacebuilding Office in CAR (BINUCA) on 1 January 2010, and the decision to create BINUCA was approved in a presidential statement in April. The Council will be briefed and will hold consultations on progress in CAR. In a similar vein, the mandate of the UN Peacebuilding Support Office in Guinea-Bissau (UNOGBIS) also expires in December. It will be succeeded by the UN Integrated Peacebuilding Office in Guinea-Bissau (UNIOGBIS) with an initial mandate of 12 months. Again no action is required in December because UNIOGBIS was authorised by resolution 1876 in June 2009.

The Development Fund for Iraq (DFI) and its independent auditor, the International Advisory and Monitoring Board(IAMB), including immunity provisions relating to the DFI (which prevent creditors from being able to seize Iraqi funds or oil shipments) will also expire. At time of writing it was unclear what action might follow.

The Council is also expected to discuss the terms of office of permanent judges of the International Criminal Tribunal for the Former Yugoslavia (ICTY) and Rwanda (ICTR) who are members of the appeals chamber. Their mandates do not expire until 31 December 2010, but the presidents of the Tribunals are seeking an extension beyond that date for advance planning and efficiency purposes. It remains to be seen whether these will be approved. The Council is, however, expected to adopt resolutions approving requests from the Tribunals to extend until 31 December 2010 authorisations to exceed the maximum number of ad litem judges allowed by their statutes and extend the mandates of two ICTY ad litem judges which expire on 31 December 2009.

The Council is also expected to renew the mandate of its Ad Hoc Working Group on Conflict Prevention and Resolution in Africa which expires on 31 December. However, it seems that this will not be done in a formal meeting.

The Council is expecting a number of briefings:

Informal consultations are expected on the work of the Counter-Terrorism Committee (1373 Committee) and the Counter-Terrorism Executive Directorate.

Full forecast

Subscribe to receive SCR publications