Sudan

  • December 2007

    Sudan/Darfur

    Monthly Forecast

    Council activity on Darfur in December is expected to include briefings by the Chief Prosecutor of the International Criminal Court and by Under Secretary-General John Holmes on the humanitarian situation in early December; possible consultations on the deployment of the UN-AU Mission in Darfur; the AU Mission in the Sudan expires on 31 December, by which time transfer to UNAMID is required under resolution 1769; ...

  • November 2007

    Sudan/Darfur

    Monthly Forecast

    Council members are expected to closely monitor Khartoum's level of cooperation over the deployment of the UN-AU Mission in Darfur (UNAMID), and the challenges facing the Sirte peace talks, in particular the lack of rebel attendance. (At press time, the talks were due to start on 27 October.)

  • October 2007

    Sudan/Darfur

    Monthly Forecast

    Council members are expected to pay close attention to progress with deploying the UN-AU Mission in the Sudan (UNAMID) and the peace process.

  • 18 September 2007

    Update Report No. 2: Sudan/Darfur

    Update Report

    On 21 September, UN Secretary-General Ban Ki-moon and AU Commission Chairman Alpha Konaré will host a high-level consultation on Darfur. The adoption of a communiqué is expected.

  • September 2007

    Sudan

    Monthly Forecast

    September is likely to be another important month for Council members regarding Sudan. Various important events are scheduled and are seen by Council members as significant opportunities to maintain momentum on both the peacekeeping and political tracks in Darfur. Separate discussions on the Secretary-General's August UNMIS report seemed possible.

  • August 2007

    Darfur/Sudan

    Monthly Forecast

    At press time, members were negotiating a second draft of a resolution establishing the AU-UN hybrid operation for Darfur. Given the differing views among members, particularly regarding sanctions and Chapter VII language in the draft, consensus has been hard to achieve and at press time it remained unclear whether the resolution will be adopted before the end of the month.

  • July 2007

    Sudan/Darfur

    Monthly Forecast

    There is strong momentum in the Council to now move quickly on a resolution to endorse the hybrid operation. Members seem likely to see an authorising resolution as an important first step in moving through the practical difficulties which undoubtedly lie ahead.

  • June 2007

    Sudan/Darfur

    Monthly Forecast

    Darfur is likely to keep the Council extremely busy in June with: discussions on AU-UN proposals for a hybrid operation and Sudan's position; a Council mission to Africa, including Addis Ababa and Accra (Sudan has invited the mission to visit Khartoum); an interim report by the sanctions Panel of Experts; and a briefing by the International Criminal Court (ICC) Chief Prosecutor Luis Moreno-Ocampo.

  • May 2007

    Sudan

    Monthly Forecast

    In May, Council members will turn increased attention to securing Khartoum's compliance with its commitments on the hybrid AU-UN peacekeeping mission in Darfur. It remains to be seen whether the Council will also put weight behind the political process. At press time, Council members were negotiating a US draft renewing UNMIS for three months.

  • April 2007

    Darfur/Sudan

    Monthly Forecast

    The Council is expected to take up in April a response to Sudan's negative stance on peacekeeping in Darfur. A briefing by Under Secretary-General John Holmes on his visit to the region on 21-22 March may also stress the rapidly deteriorating humanitarian situation. At press time, members were awaiting results of a number of diplomatic initiatives.

  • March 2007

    Sudan/Darfur

    Monthly Forecast

    With the crisis in Darfur reaching more serious proportions each month, the Council is expected to take up the question again in March, particularly Khartoum's delayed response to the Secretary-General's heavy support proposal. It will also be pushing for prompt AU-UN agreement on the hybrid operation.

  • February 2007

    Sudan (Darfur)

    Monthly Forecast

    Council members will be looking for concrete action on deployment of a hybrid AU-UN operation in Darfur. Agreement from Khartoum on key details, including mandate and size, was pending at press time. A positive outcome is likely to lead to Council action triggering wider UN approval of funding and resources.

  • January 2007

    Sudan (Darfur)/Chad/CAR

    Monthly Forecast

    In January, Council members will be looking for concrete evidence that Khartoum is following through on its signals that a new Council statement (adopted on 19 December) would unlock consent for the proposed hybrid AU-UN operation in Darfur. Agreement on key aspects, such as mandate and size, were still pending at press time.

  • December 2006

    Sudan (Darfur)/Chad/CAR

    Monthly Forecast

    Council members are likely to support the proposed hybrid force in Darfur, but without enthusiasm and only as a last resort if it's essential in negotiating an agreement with Sudan. At press time, the outcome of the 30 November AU Summit on this issue was still unknown.

  • November 2006

    Darfur/Sudan

    Monthly Forecast

    The impasse over the transition in Darfur from the AU force to a UN peacekeeping operation is likely to continue to generate Council discussion in November. But no formal action is expected at least until the results are known of diplomatic initiatives vis-à-vis Sudan and the AU Peace and Security Council high-level meeting, scheduled for the end of November.