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February 2026

Sudan

Monthly Forecast

In February, the Security Council is expected to receive the regular 120-day briefing on the situation in Sudan. The UK, which holds the Council's rotating presidency for the month of February, intends to elevate the briefing to ministerial level. The Council was also scheduled to be briefed this month on the work of the 1591 Sudan Sanctions Committee. At the time of writing, however, the Committee’s Chair had not yet been appointed, as Council members continued negotiations over the allocation of subsidiary bodies for the year. In this context, the UK proposed that the 1591 Committee meet its reporting requirements through a written statement. Read more
February 2026

UN Peacekeeping

Monthly Forecast

In February, the Security Council will receive its annual briefing from the heads of police components of UN peace operations. The anticipated briefers are Under-Secretary-General for Peace Operations Jean-Pierre Lacroix; UN Police Adviser Faisal Shahkar; Police Commissioner of the UN Organization Stabilization Mission in the Democratic Republic of Congo (MONUSCO) Mamouna Ouedraogo; and Police Commissioner of the UN Mission in South Sudan (UNMISS) Meinolf Schlotmann. Read more
February 2026

South Sudan

Monthly Forecast

In February, the Security Council will hold a briefing, followed by consultations, on the situation in South Sudan. Council members are expected to receive the Secretary-General’s 90-day report on South Sudan and developments in the country by 2 February. The mandate of the UN Mission in South Sudan (UNMISS) expires on 30 April 2026. Read more
January 2026

Status Update since our December Forecast

Monthly Forecast

This is the Status Update since our December Forecast. Read more
January 2026

Colombia

Monthly Forecast

In January 2026, the Security Council is expected to hold its quarterly meeting on Colombia. Special Representative and Head of the UN Verification Mission in Colombia Miroslav Jenča will brief on recent developments and the Secretary-General’s latest 90-day report on the mission (S/2025/849), which was circulated to Council members on 26 December 2025 and covers the period from 27 September 2025. Read more
19 December 2025

S/RES/2808

UN Documents

This resolution renewed the mandate of the UN Organization Stabilization Mission in the Democratic Republic of the Congo (MONUSCO) for one year, until 20 December 2026. Read more
12 December 2025

S/PV.10063

UN Documents

This was an open briefing on the situation in the Democratic Republic of the Congo. Read more
December 2025

Overview     

Monthly Forecast

In December, Slovenia will hold the presidency of the Security Council. Read more
December 2025

Status Update since our November Forecast

Monthly Forecast

This is the Status Update since our November Forecast. Read more
December 2025

UNOCA (Central Africa) 

Monthly Forecast

In December, the Security Council will hold a briefing and consultations on the Secretary-General’s semi-annual report on the UN Regional Office for Central Africa (UNOCA) and the implementation of the UN’s regional strategy to combat the Lord’s Resistance Army (LRA). Special Representative and Head of UNOCA Abdou Abarry is expected to brief. The mandate of UNOCA expires on 31 August 2027. Read more
December 2025

Briefing by the Outgoing Chairs of the Security Council’s Subsidiary Bodies

Monthly Forecast

As is customary in December, the outgoing chairs of the Council’s subsidiary bodies are expected to provide a briefing on their experiences. Read more
December 2025

Syria

Monthly Forecast

In December, the Security Council is expected to hold its monthly meeting on political and humanitarian developments in Syria. Deputy Special Envoy for Syria Najat Rochdi, a representative from the UN Office for the Coordination of Humanitarian Affairs (OCHA), and a civil society representative, are expected to brief. Read more
November 2025

Overview

Monthly Forecast

In November, Sierra Leone will hold the presidency of the Security Council.    Read more
November 2025

Status Update since our October Forecast

Monthly Forecast

This is the Status Update since our October Forecast. Read more
November 2025

Conflict and Food Insecurity

Monthly Forecast

In November, the Security Council will hold a high-level open debate on conflict-related food insecurity. This is a signature event of Sierra Leone’s Council presidency and will be chaired by Sierra Leone’s President Julius Maada Bio. The expected briefers are UN Deputy Secretary-General Amina J. Mohammed, Under-Secretary-General for Humanitarian Affairs Tom Fletcher, African Union (AU) Special Envoy for Food Systems Ibrahim Assane Mayaki, and a civil society representative. Read more

Latest Publications

2 June 2026

Security Council Elections 2026

Research Report

On 3 June, the 80th session of the UN General Assembly is scheduled to hold elections for membership of the Security Council.

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28 May 2026

The Security Council and the Power of the Pen

Research Report

The penholder system is one of the Security Council’s most consequential informal working methods, shaping not only how Council products are drafted but also who leads negotiations and shapes responses to crisis situations. This system is a central feature of the Council’s decision-making process today. It is also an inherent aspect of how power is distributed and wielded in the Security Council.

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15 May 2026

Mapping the Gap: Between the Promise and Reality of the Security Council’s Protection Agenda

Research Report

Over 25 years since the Security Council adopted resolution 1265 in 1999, establishing the protection of civilians (PoC) as a distinct agenda item, the long-observed gap between the protection framework that it has built and the reality experienced by civilians in armed conflict has never been wider. The Council has at its disposal well-established legal standards, operational tools, and reporting mechanisms developed through a substantial body of thematic and country-specific decisions. What it increasingly lacks is the political will and cohesion to apply them in the situations where they are most urgently needed. As civilian harm in armed conflict surges, the credibility of the Council’s protection framework—and its role in maintaining international peace and security—will be judged not by the norms it articulates but by its willingness to act on them.

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15 April 2026

Power, Process and Participation: The Search for the Next Secretary-General

Research Report

The search for the next UN Secretary-General is unfolding amid rising conflict, intensifying geopolitical tensions, and growing strain on multilateral institutions. At this moment of global uncertainty, the choice of the next Secretary-General will shape both the organisation’s credibility and its ability to navigate in an increasingly fraught international environment.

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27 March 2026

Maintaining International Peace and Security in the Age of Rapid Technological Change: Is the Security Council Wired for Purpose?

Research Report

Rapid advances in information and communications technology (ICTs), artificial intelligence (AI), and other new and emerging technologies are reshaping the parameters of international peace and security, influencing both the nature of conflict and the means by which it is prevented and managed. As technological convergence accelerates, risks are becoming more complex, interconnected, and difficult to anticipate. The implications of technological change are increasingly visible across issues already before the Security Council, including counter-terrorism, the protection of civilians, sanctions, peacekeeping, and women, peace and security. Yet Council engagement remains limited, fragmented, and politically contested, even as these technologies become more consequential for international peace and security.

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24 March 2026

Living with the Veto

Research Report

Since the founding of the United Nations over 80 years ago, few issues have generated as much controversy among the world body’s membership, or so affected the Security Council’s work, as the veto accorded to the Council’s five permanent members (P5). Concerns among UN member states about the adverse effects of the veto (and the threat of the veto) remain intense and may even be on the rise. P5 disagreements that blocked effective Council action for well over a decade on Syria have also hindered meaningful engagement on issues such as Myanmar, Sudan, Ukraine and “The situation in the Middle East, including the Palestinian question”.

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