February 2025 Monthly Forecast

Posted 30 January 2025
Download Complete Forecast: PDF
  • Overview  

    In February, China will hold the presidency of the Security Council.   Read more

  • In Hindsight: The 2025 Peacebuilding Review

    At the end of January, member states began the formal phase of the UN Peacebuilding Architecture Review (PBAR), a process undertaken every five years to strengthen and refine UN peacebuilding efforts worldwide. To kick-start its engagement in this phase, the Security Council, at Algeria’s initiative, adopted a presidential statement on 27 January, reaffirming its commitment to the process. Read more

  • Status Update since our January Forecast 

    The Status Update since our January Forecast. Read more

  • Syria

    In February, the Council is expected to hold a meeting on the political and humanitarian developments in Syria. Read more

  • South Sudan

    In February, the Security Council will hold a briefing, followed by consultations, to discuss the situation in South Sudan. Special Representative and Head of the UN Mission in South Sudan (UNMISS) Nicholas Haysom is expected to brief on the Secretary-General’s 90-day report on South Sudan, dated 24 January, and developments in the country. The mandate of UNMISS expires on 30 April. Read more

  • UNRCCA (Central Asia)

    In February, the Special Representative of the Secretary-General and Head of the UN Regional Centre for Preventive Diplomacy for Central Asia (UNRCCA), Kaha Imnadze, is expected to brief Security Council members on the UNRCCA’s work in closed consultations. Read more

  • Sudan

    In February, the Security Council is expected to receive the regular 120-day briefing on the situation in Sudan. The Council is also expected to renew the mandate of the Panel of Experts assisting the 1591 Sudan Sanctions Committee. The 1591 Sudan sanctions regime—including targeted sanctions (assets freeze and travel bans) and an arms embargo—expires on 12 September. Read more

  • Yemen

    In February, the Security Council will hold its monthly briefing and consultations on Yemen. UN Special Envoy for Yemen Hans Grundberg and Under-Secretary-General for Humanitarian Affairs Tom Fletcher (via videoconference) are expected to brief. Read more

  • Multilateralism 

    In February, China plans to convene an open debate on “Practicing Multilateralism, Reforming and Improving Global Governance”, which will be the signature event of its presidency. The meeting will be chaired by China’s Foreign Minister, Wang Yi. UN Secretary-General António Guterres is expected to brief.   Read more

  • Libya

    In February, the Security Council will hold its bimonthly briefing on the situation in Libya. A UN representative is expected to brief the Council on recent political, security, and humanitarian developments in the country. Additionally, the chair of the 1970 Libya Sanctions Committee might brief on the committee’s activities.  Read more

  • Central African Republic

    In February, the Security Council will hold a briefing and consultations on the Secretary-General’s latest report on the UN Multidimensional Integrated Stabilization Mission in the Central African Republic (MINUSCA). Special Representative for the Central African Republic (CAR) and Head of MINUSCA Valentine Rugwabiza is expected to brief. Read more

  • DPRK (North Korea)

    In February, Security Council members are scheduled to discuss the 90-day report on the work of the 1718 Democratic People’s Republic of Korea (DPRK) Sanctions Committee in closed consultations. Read more

  • Somalia

    In February, the Security Council is expected to renew the 2713 Al-Shabaab sanctions regime, including the provision for maritime interdiction, which expires on 28 February. In addition, the Council will decide on the mandate of the Panel of Experts (PoE) supporting the 2713 Al-Shabaab Sanctions Committee, which was last renewed by resolution 2762 of 13 December 2024 and is set to expire on 31 March. The resolution expressed the Council’s intention to review the Panel’s mandate and take appropriate actions regarding its further extension by 28 February. Read more

  • UN Peacekeeping 

    In February, the Security Council will receive its annual briefing from the heads of police components of UN peace operations.   Read more

Download Complete Forecast: PDF