January 2025 Monthly Forecast

• Overview 

  In January 2025, Algeria will hold the presidency of the Security Council. Read more

• In Hindsight: The Security Council in 2024 and Looking Ahead to 2025

  In 2024, the Security Council was confronted with a world beset by multiple crises, including continuing wars in Ukraine and Gaza, severe deterioration in the situation in Sudan, and a sudden shift in the political situation in Syria. Differing strategic interests and irreconcilable world views among the major powers restricted the Council’s ability to fully address these crises. The tensions among the major powers were frequently in evidence in the Council chamber, where members clashed on a range of issues. Read more

• Status Update since our December Forecast  

  The Status Update since our December Forecast. Read more

• Syria

  In January, the Security Council will hold a meeting on the political process and the humanitarian situation in Syria. Read more

• Libya

  In January 2025, the Security Council is expected to renew the authorisation of measures contained in resolution 2146 of 19 March 2014 related to the illicit export of petroleum from Libya. It is also expected to extend the mandate of the Panel of Experts (PoE) assisting the 1970 Libya Sanctions Committee. Additionally, the Council may renew the mandate of the UN Support Mission in Libya (UNSMIL) this month. Read more

• Yemen

  In January 2025, the Security Council will hold its monthly briefing and consultations on Yemen. UN Special Envoy for Yemen Hans Grundberg and a representative of the Office for the Coordination of Humanitarian Affairs (OCHA) are expected to brief. Read more

• Cyprus

  This month, the Security Council is expected to renew the mandate of the UN Peacekeeping Force in Cyprus (UNFICYP) ahead of its 31 January 2025 expiry. Earlier in the month, Security Council members are expected to receive a briefing in consultations on the situation in Cyprus by Special Representative and Head of UNFICYP Colin Stewart.   Read more

• The Middle East, including the Palestinian Question

  In January, the Security Council expects to hold its quarterly open debate on “The situation in the Middle East, including the Palestinian question”. Algeria intends to hold the open debate, which will be one of the signature events of its January presidency, at ministerial level. Algerian Minister of Foreign Affairs Ahmed Attaf is expected to chair. UN Secretary-General António Guterres is the anticipated briefer. Read more

• Counter-Terrorism

  In January, Algeria plans to convene a meeting on counter-terrorism in Africa. Details regarding the meeting were still being finalised at the time of writing, however it appears that the meeting will be high-level and is likely to focus on terrorism and its impact on sustainable development. It also seems that Deputy Secretary-General Amina Mohammed, African Union (AU) Commissioner for Political Affairs, Peace and Security Bankole Adeoye, and former UN and AU official Said Djinnit will be requested to brief. This will be one of Algeria’s signature events during its presidency, and a presidential statement may be proposed in connection with the meeting. Read more

• Colombia

  In January 2025, the Security Council is expected to receive a briefing from Special Representative and Head of the UN Verification Mission in Colombia Carlos Ruiz Massieu on recent developments in Colombia and the Secretary-General’s latest 90-day report on the mission, which was circulated to Council members on 26 December 2024. Read more

• Haiti

  In January 2025, the Council will hold its 90-day briefing on the situation in Haiti. Special Representative and Head of the UN Integrated Office in Haiti (BINUH) María Isabel Salvador will brief the Council on recent political, security, and humanitarian developments in the country and on the Secretary-General’s latest report on BINUH. Read more