November 2024 Monthly Forecast

• Overview

  In November, the UK holds the presidency of the Security Council.    Read more

• In Hindsight: UN-AU Cooperation: A Path Toward Networked Multilateralism or Fragmented Responses?

  October was a significant month for UN-AU cooperation. This month’s In Hindsight examines the progress and challenges in UN-AU cooperation and offers ideas for charting the way forward. Read more

• Status Update

  The Status Update since our October Forecast. Read more

• The Middle East, including the Palestinian Question

  On 18 November, the Security Council expects to hold an open briefing on the Middle East. A senior UN official is the anticipated briefer. One of the signature events of the UK’s presidency, the meeting will be chaired by UK Secretary of State for Foreign, Commonwealth and Development Affairs David Lammy. It appears that the UK intends to focus the meeting on securing longer term solutions to the conflict in the Middle East region. Read more

• Ukraine

  In November, the UK is expected to convene a meeting on the situation in Ukraine to mark one thousand days since Russia’s full-scale invasion of the country on 24 February 2022. Additional meetings on Ukraine are possible. Read more

• Sudan

  In November, the Security Council will hold a ministerial-level briefing on Sudan. The UK’s Parliamentary Under Secretary of State for Africa Lord Collins of Highbury is expected to chair the meeting. Under-Secretary-General for Political and Peacebuilding Affairs Rosemary DiCarlo, an official from the Office for the Coordination of Humanitarian Affairs (OCHA), and a civil society representative are the anticipated briefers. Read more

• Bosnia and Herzegovina

  In November, the Security Council will hold its semi-annual debate on Bosnia and Herzegovina (BiH). The Council also expects to vote at the start of the month on the reauthorisation of the EU-led multinational stabilisation force (EUFOR ALTHEA) prior to its 2 November expiration. Read more

• Sudan/South Sudan

  In November, the Security Council will hold a briefing and consultations on the Secretary-General’s semi-annual report on the UN Interim Security Force for Abyei (UNISFA), which was circulated to Council members on 14 October. The Council is also expected to renew the mandate of UNISFA and extend the mission’s support for the Joint Border Verification and Monitoring Mechanism (JBVMM), established in 2011 to conduct monitoring and verification activities along the Sudan-South Sudan border, before their expiration on 15 November. Read more

• South Sudan

  Expected Council Action In November, the Security Council will hold a briefing, followed by consultations, to discuss the situation in South Sudan. Special Representative and Head of the UN Mission in South Sudan (UNMISS) Nicholas Haysom is expected to brief on the Secretary-General’s 90-day report on South Sudan, dated 25 October, and developments in the country. Read more

• Yemen

  Expected Council Action In November, the Security Council is expected to renew the Yemen financial and travel ban sanctions measures, which expire on 15 November, and the mandate of the Yemen Panel of Experts (PoE), which expires on 15 December.... Read more

• Central African Republic

  In November, the Council is expected to renew the mandate of the UN Multidimensional Integrated Stabilization Mission in the Central African Republic (MINUSCA), which expires on 15 November. The Central African Republic (CAR) sanctions regime expires on 31 July 2025, and the mandate of the Panel of Experts assisting the 2745 CAR Sanctions Committee expires on 31 August 2025. Read more

• Libya

  In November, the Security Council will receive the biannual briefing of the ICC Prosecutor, Karim Asad Ahmad Khan, on the ICC’s Libya-related activities. Read more

• Lebanon

  In November, Security Council members expect to receive a briefing in consultations on the Secretary-General’s report on the implementation of resolution 1701 of 2006. The report is expected by 13 November. Resolution 1701 reshaped the mandate of the UN Interim Force in Lebanon (UNIFIL) in light of the 2006 war between Israel and Hezbollah and called for a cessation of hostilities between the parties. Special Coordinator for Lebanon Jeanine Hennis-Plasschaert and Under-Secretary-General for Peacekeeping Operations Jean-Pierre Lacroix are the anticipated briefers. Read more

• Syria

  Expected Council Action In November, the Security Council will hold a meeting on the political process and the humanitarian situation in Syria. Read more

• Protection of Humanitarian and UN Personnel

  In November, the Security Council will hold an open briefing on the Secretary-General’s recommendations on measures to prevent and respond to attacks against humanitarian and UN personnel, which the Council requested through resolution 2730 of 24 May. The UK, the Council president for the month, is convening the meeting. Representatives of the Office for the Coordination of Humanitarian Affairs (OCHA) and the UN Department of Safety and Security (UNDSS) are expected to the brief. A civil society representative may also participate. Read more

• DPRK (North Korea)

  In November, the Chair of the 1718 Democratic People’s Republic of Korea (DPRK) Sanctions Committee, Ambassador Pascale Baeriswyl (Switzerland), is scheduled to brief Council members in closed consultations on the 90-day report regarding the Committee’s work. Read more