December 2015 Monthly Forecast

Posted 25 November 2015
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  • Overview

    The United States will hold the Council's presidency in December. Read more

  • Status Update

    Recent developments on situations covered in this Forecast are in the relevant briefs. Interesting developments on other issues are included in this Status Update of Security Council activity in November 2015. Read more

  • Notable Dates

    Notable dates for December. Read more

  • Afghanistan

    In December, the Council will hold its quarterly debate on Afghanistan, during which it will consider the Secretary-General’s 90-day report on the UN Assistance Mission in Afghanistan (UNAMA). Nicholas Haysom, the Secretary-General’s Special Representative in Afghanistan and head of UNAMA, is expected to brief.  Read more

  • Syria

    In December, Council members will receive their regular monthly briefings on the chemical weapons and humanitarian tracks in Syria. The Council may also re-authorise cross-border and cross-line humanitarian access in Syria. Finally, it is unlikely, but possible, that there may be action in the Council towards empowering a UN-endorsed mission to monitor a yet to be agreed ceasefire plan for Syria. Read more

  • South Sudan

    In December, the Council is expected to adopt a resolution renewing and revising the mandate of the UN Mission in South Sudan (UNMISS), which expires on 15 December. Prior to this adoption, the Council is expected to hold a briefing, followed by consultations, on three documents: the Secretary-General’s report on UNMISS’s activities in South Sudan from 20 August to 9 November; his report reviewing the mission’s mandate and recommending potential future support for the South Sudan National Police Service and Joint Integrated Police; and his letter containing an assessment of the UN’s role in providing support for security to key infrastructure.  Read more

  • UNOCA/LRA

    In December, the Security Council will be briefed by Abdoulaye Bathily, Special Representative and head of the UN Regional Office for Central Africa (UNOCA), on the Secretary-General’s report on UNOCA and the implementation of the UN regional strategy to combat the Lord’s Resistance Army (LRA).  Read more

  • Western Sahara

    In December, Council members expect a briefing in consultations by Christopher Ross, the Secretary-General’s Personal Envoy for Western Sahara. The Special Representative and head of the UN Mission for the Referendum in Western Sahara (MINURSO), Kim Bolduc, may also brief. Read more

  • International Criminal Tribunals

    In December, the Security Council will hold its semi-annual debate on the ad hoc international criminal tribunals. The presidents and prosecutors of the International Criminal Tribunal for the former Yugoslavia (ICTY) and the International Criminal Tribunal for Rwanda (ICTR) are expected to brief. This is the last briefing on the ICTR, which will complete its work by the end of the year. The President and Prosecutor of the Residual Mechanism for International Criminal Tribunals will also brief the Council. Read more

  • Yemen

    In December, the Secretary-General’s Special Envoy for Yemen, Ismail Ould Cheikh Ahmed, is expected to brief the Council. OCHA head Stephen O’Brien and the High Commissioner for Human Rights Zeid Ra’ad Al Hussein may also brief. Read more

  • Sudan/South Sudan

    The Council is expected to renew the mandate of the UN Interim Security Force for Abyei (UNISFA) prior to its 15 December expiration.  Read more

  • Central African Republic

    In December, Special Representative Parfait Onanga-Anyanga will brief the Council on the forthcoming MINUSCA report.The chair of the 2127 CAR Sanctions Committee, Raimonda Murmokaitė (Lithuania), will also brief the Council on the Panel of Experts’ final report. Read more

  • Sudan (Darfur)

    In December, ICC Prosecutor Fatou Bensouda is expected to provide the semi-annual briefing on the Court’s work regarding Darfur. Read more

  • Subsidiary Bodies

    In December, the subsidiary body chairpersons from countries that will be finishing their two-year terms on the Council are expected to brief about their work and experiences chairing sanctions committees and working groups. Read more

  • UNDOF (Golan Heights)

    The Council is expected to extend for six months the mandate of the UN Disengagement Observer Force (UNDOF), which expires on 31 December. DPKO will brief Council members in consultations on the UNDOF report, due on 8 December. Read more

  • Iran

    In December, the chair of the 1737 Iran Sanctions Committee, Ambassador Román Oyarzun (Spain), is due to brief the Council on the Committee’s work. Read more

  • Non-Proliferation (1540 Committee)

    In December, the chair of the 1540 Committee, Ambassador Roman Oyarzun (Spain), is scheduled to brief the Council on the work of the Committee, which deals with the non-proliferation of weapons of mass destruction.  Read more

  • DPRK (North Korea)

    In December, it is possible that the Council will hold a meeting on the human rights situation in the Democratic People’s Republic of Korea (DPRK), with briefings by High Commissioner for Human Rights Zeid Ra’ad Al Hussein and Under-Secretary-General for Political Affairs Jeffrey Feltman. Read more

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