March 2014 Monthly Forecast

Posted 28 February 2014
Download Complete Forecast: PDF
  • Overview

    Luxembourg will preside over the Security Council in March. Read more

  • Status Update

    Recent developments on situtions covered in this Forecast are in the relevant briefs. Interesting developments on other issues are included in this Status Update of Security Council activity in February 2014. Read more

  • Notable Dates for March

    Notable Dates for March Read more

  • Children and Armed Conflict

    In March the Council will hold an open debate on children and armed conflict chaired by Jean Asselborn, Minister of Foreign and European Affairs of Luxembourg. Read more

  • Afghanistan

    In March, the Council is scheduled to renew the mandate of the UN Assistance Mission in Afghanistan (UNAMA), which expires on 19 March. The Council will also hold its quarterly debate on the situation in Afghanistan, during which Ján Kubiš, Special Representative of the Secretary-General and head of UNAMA, will brief the Council. Read more

  • Syria

    In March there will be briefings on the chemical weapons track by Special Coordinator Sigrid Kaag; on Geneva II peace talks by Joint Special Representative Lakhdar Brahimi; and on the implementation of resolution 2139 on humanitarian access by OCHA head Valerie Amos.   Read more

  • South Sudan

    In March, the Council is scheduled to be briefed on the report of the Secretary-General on the UN Mission in South Sudan (UNMISS) by the Under-Secretary-General for Peacekeeping Operations Hervé Ladsous. Executive Director of UN Women Phumzile Mlambo-Ngcuka may also brief on her 18-19 February trip to South Sudan. Council members are likely to hold consultations following the briefing. At press time, an outcome was not anticipated. However, after considering the findings of the upcoming Secretary-General’s report, the Council could choose to modify the mandate of UNMISS well ahead of its 15 July expiration. Read more

  • Sudan and South Sudan

    In March, Council members are scheduled to be briefed in consultations on Sudan-South Sudan issues and the quarterly report of the Secretary-General on the UN Interim Security Force for Abyei (UNISFA), released 25 February (S/2014/126). As of press time, an outcome was not anticipated. Read more

  • Sudan (Darfur)

    In March, Council members are scheduled to be briefed in consultations on the report of the Secretary-General offering recommendations on improving the effectiveness of the AU/UN Hybrid Operation in Darfur (UNAMID), which is due by 28 February. It is unclear if the Council will take action in response to the report. Read more

  • Somalia

    In March, the Council will be briefed on the Secretary-General’s report on the UN Assistance Mission in Somalia (UNSOM) by Special Representative of the Secretary-General Nicholas Kay. The Special Representative of the Chairperson of the AU Commission for Somalia, Mahamet Saleh Annadif, is also expected to brief the Council. The briefing is likely to be followed by consultations. Council members are also scheduled to be briefed in consultations by Ambassador Oh Joon (South Korea), chair of the 751/1907 Somalia-Eritrea Sanctions Committee. Council members may also hold an informal interactive dialogue regarding the AU Mission in Somalia (AMISOM). Read more

  • Central African Republic

    In March, the Council will be briefed on the situation in the Central African Republic (CAR) and the Secretary-General’s report on the possible transformation of the African-led International Support Mission in the CAR (MISCA) into a UN peacekeeping operation.The Council may adopt a resolution establishing a peacekeeping mission in the CAR and providing further support for the existing forces. Read more

  • Democratic Republic of the Congo

    In March, the Security Council will be briefed on the situation in the Democratic Republic of the Congo (DRC). The Council is also expected to renew the mandate of the UN Organization Stabilization Mission in the DRC (MONUSCO), which expires on 31 March, for another year. Read more

  • Liberia

    In March, the Council expects a briefing by Karin Landgren, Special Representative of the Secretary-General and head of the UN Mission in Liberia (UNMIL) on the Secretary-General’s report that will include an update on UNMIL’s ongoing reconfiguration. Ambassador Staffan Tillander (Sweden), chair of the Liberia configuration of the Peacebuilding Commission (PBC), will also brief the Council following his recent visit to the country. The briefing will likely be followed by consultations. Read more

  • Sierra Leone

    The Security Council expects a briefing in March on Sierra Leone. Jens Anders Toyberg-Frandzen, Executive Representative of the Secretary-General and head of the UN Integrated Peacebuilding Office in Sierra Leone (UNIPSIL), is expected to brief the Council for the last time before the mission’s mandate ends on 31 March. Ambassador Guillermo Rishchynski (Canada), chair of the Sierra Leone configuration of the Peacebuilding Commission (PBC), is also expected to address the Council. Read more

  • Libya

    In March, the Council is expected to renew the mandate of the UN Support Mission in Libya (UNSMIL). Tarek Mitri, the Special Representative of the Secretary-General and head of UNSMIL, is expected to brief the Council on the Secretary-General’s latest report. The Council will also likely renew the mandate of the Panel of Experts (PoE) assisting the 1970 Libya Sanctions Committee and the Council expects a briefing by its chair, Ambassador Eugène-Richard Gasana (Rwanda). Read more

  • Yemen

    In March, the Council expects a briefing on Yemen by Jamal Benomar, the Special Adviser to the Secretary-General. This will be his first briefing after the adoption of resolution 2140 on 26 February, which expressed the Council’s strong support for the next steps of the political transition and established sanctions against individuals or entities that the 2140 Sanctions Committee determines to be engaging in or providing support for acts that threaten the peace, security or stability of Yemen. Read more

  • Lebanon

    In March, Special Coordinator for Lebanon Derek Plumbly and Assistant Secretary-General for Peacekeeping Operations Edmond Mulet will brief Council members in consultations on the Secretary-General’s report on the implementation of resolution 1701, which called for a cessation of hostilities between Hezbollah and Israel in 2006.  Read more

  • UNDOF (Golan)

    In March, DPKO will brief Council members in consultations on the Secretary-General’s upcoming UNDOF report. Read more

  • Iraq

    In March, Special Representative of the Secretary-General Nickolay Mladenov will brief the Council on the report on the UN Assistance Mission for Iraq (UNAMI). Council members are also due to receive a report from UNAMI on Iraq’s compliance with resolution 1284 regarding the repatriation or return of Kuwaiti nationals or their remains and the return of Kuwaiti property. Read more

  • Iran

    In March, the chair of the 1737 Iran Sanctions Committee, Ambassador Gary Quinlan (Australia), is due to present his quarterly briefing on the Committee’s work to the Council. Read more

  • DPRK (North Korea)

    In March, the Council is expected to adopt a resolution renewing for 13 months the mandate of the Panel of Experts (PoE) assisting the 1718 Democratic People’s Republic of Korea (DPRK) Sanctions Committee.    Read more

  • Haiti

    In March, the Council will consider the Secretary-General’s semi-annual report on the UN Stabilisation Mission in Haiti (MINUSTAH). The report is expected to include options for the future UN presence following the end of MINUSTAH’s current consolidation plan in 2016. A debate with a briefing by the Special Representative of the Secretary-General and head of mission, Sandra Honoré, is expected.  Read more

  • Peacebuilding

    In March, the Council will be briefed on peacebuilding in the aftermath of conflict. In a 20 December 2012 presidential statement, the Council requested the Secretariat to provide this oral briefing as an update on progress in the UN’s peacebuilding efforts, including women’s participation in peacebuilding, as well as a final report by December 2014 (S/PRST/2012/29). Read more

Download Complete Forecast: PDF