September 2013 Monthly Forecast

• Overview

  Australia will preside over the Security Council in September. Read more

• Status Update

  Recent developments on situations covered in this Forecast are in the relevant briefs. Interesting developments on other issues are included in this Status Update of Security Council activity in August 2013. Read more

• Notable Dates for September

  Notable Dates for September Read more

• In Hindsight: Penholders

  This month's In Hindsight takes a look at the evolution and practice of the  division of labour within the Council in taking the lead on particular issues on the agenda. Read more

• Small Arms

  A high-level meeting on small arms is expected to be held at the initiative of Australia as President of the Council in September. Although Australia is having federal elections on 7 September, the elected prime minister is expected to preside over the meeting. The Secretary-General may brief the Council. Read more

• Central African Republic

  In September, the Security Council may adopt a resolution amending the mandate of the UN Integrated Peacebuilding Office in the Central African Republic (BINUCA). Read more

• Liberia

  In September, the Council is expected to renew the mandate of the UN Mission in Liberia (UNMIL) before it expires on 30 September. Prior to that, it will receive a briefing on and consider in consultations the Secretary-General’s latest report on UNMIL (S/2013/479). UNMIL head, Karin Landgren, and Ambassador Staffan Tillander (Sweden), chair of the Liberia configuration of the Peacebuilding Commission (PBC), are expected to brief. Read more

• Sierra Leone

  In September, the Council will be briefed on the report of the Secretary-General regarding the UN Integrated Peacebuilding Office in Sierra Leone (UNIPSIL), most likely by Jens Anders Toyberg-Frandzen, the Executive Representative of the Secretary-General and head of UNIPSIL. As with past Council practice, Guillermo Rishchynski, chair of the Sierra Leone configuration of the Peacebuilding Commission (PBC), will also likely brief. The briefing will be followed by consultations. The mandate of UNIPSIL expires on 31 March 2014, by which date the mission should be fully drawn down. Read more

• Guinea-Bissau

  In September, Council members expect to hold consultations to receive a briefing from José Ramos-Horta, the Secretary-General’s Special Representative and the head of the UN Integrated Peacebuilding Office in Guinea-Bissau (UNIOGBIS), and discuss the most recent report of the Secretary-General on the restoration of constitutional order in Guinea-Bissau, issued on 21 August (S/2013/499). The Council is likely to take no action. Read more

• Libya

  In September, the Security Council expects to be briefed by Tarek Mitri, the Special Representative of the Secretary-General and head of the UN Support Mission in Libya (UNSMIL), followed by consultations. The Council will also likely receive the periodic briefing by the chair of the 1970 Libya Sanctions Committee, Ambassador Eugène-Richard Gasana (Rwanda), and hold consultations on the Libya sanctions. No Council action is planned at this stage. Read more

• South Sudan and Sudan

  In September, the Security Council expects to hold two meetings, likely in consultations, on Sudan-South Sudan issues. At press time, no Council outcome was anticipated from these matters. Read more

• Somalia

  In September, the Council expects a briefing regarding the first report of the Secretary-General on the UN Assistance Mission in Somalia (UNSOM) to be followed by consultations. The Council is also scheduled to receive a quarterly report from the AU on the AU Mission in Somalia (AMISOM). Read more

• Yemen

  Late in September, the Council expects a briefing on Yemen by Jamal Benomar, the Special Adviser to the Secretary-General on Yemen. Secretary-General of the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) Abdullatif bin Rashid Al-Zayani and a senior representative of Yemen are expected to brief the Council as well. The outcome will largely depend on the successful completion of the National Dialogue Conference (NDC) set for 18 September. Read more

• UNDOF (Golan)

  In September, Under-Secretary-General for Peacekeeping Operations Hervé Ladsous is expected to brief the Council on the Secretary-General’s report, due early in the month, on the UN Disengagement Observer Force (UNDOF). Read more

• Afghanistan

  In September, the Council will hold its quarterly debate on the situation in Afghanistan. Ján Kubiš, Special Representative of the Secretary-General and head of the UN Assistance Mission in Afghanistan (UNAMA), is expected to brief. High-level participation is possible, given that it seems the debate will likely take place the week prior to the high-level debate of the General Assembly. At press time, no outcome was anticipated. Read more