April 2013 Monthly Forecast

Posted 28 March 2013
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  • Prevention of Conflicts in Africa

    In April, the Council is expected to receive a briefing on “Prevention of Conflicts in Africa: Addressing the Root Causes” from Secretary-General Ban Ki-moon and possibly the Chairperson of the AU, Prime Minister Hailemariam Desalegn of Ethiopia. Read more

  • Overview

    Rwanda will preside over the Security Council in April. Read more

  • Status Update

    Recent developments on situations covered in this Forecast are in the relevant briefs. Interesting developments on other issues are included in this Status Update of Security Council activity in March 2013. Read more

  • Central African Republic

    In April, the Council is scheduled hear a briefing in consultations by Margaret Vogt, the Secretary-General’s Special Representative and head of the UN Integrated Peacebuilding Office in the Central African Republic (BINUCA), on developments and the latest Secretary-General’s report on BINUCA. (The report is due by 31 March but may be delayed to reflect the most recent developments.)  Read more

  • Notable Dates

    Notable Dates for April 2013 Read more

  • Mali

    In April, the Council is expected to be briefed in consultations by the Secretariat and consider the options included in the 26 March report of the Secretary-General on the implementation of resolution 2085 (S/2013/189). A new resolution establishing a UN mission in Mali is a likely outcome. Read more

  • Sudan/Darfur

    In late April, the Council expects to hold a briefing and consultations on the Secretary-General’s quarterly report on the AU/UN Hybrid Operation in Darfur (UNAMID). The Council began negotiating a draft presidential statement on 20 March that appeared to express concern at the recent violence in North Darfur. However, at press time, it seemed that this statement had reached an impasse, and it is unclear whether the Council will attempt to revive its discussions on the statement. The mandate of UNAMID expires on 31 July. Read more

  • Sudan and South Sudan

    In April, the Council is likely to hold its twice-monthly consultations on the situation between Sudan and South Sudan in accordance with resolution 2046. The Council is also expected to discuss in consultations the Secretary-General’s most recent report on the UN Interim Security Force for Abyei (UNISFA), which expires on 31 May. It is unclear whether there will be any outcome to the deliberations on Sudan-South Sudan this month, especially given the divisive nature of the Council’s discussions on this issue in the recent past. Read more

  • Somalia

    In April, the Council expects the Secretary-General’s report with the findings of the Technical Assessment Mission (TAM), which had been tasked with developing further details for a new UN special political mission that will replace the current UN presence in Somalia. Based on the recommendations of the report, the Council is likely to adopt a resolution in late April or early May authorising a new UN mission to be deployed by 3 June. Read more

  • Western Sahara

    In April, the Council expects a briefing in consultations on the UN Mission for the Referendum in Western Sahara (MINURSO) by Wolfgang Weisbrod-Weber, the Secretary-General’s Special Representative and head of MINURSO. The Secretary-General’s Personal Envoy for Western Sahara, Christopher Ross, is also likely to brief the Council. Read more

  • Côte d’Ivoire

    In April, the Council expects a briefing by Edmond Mulet, the Assistant Secretary-General for Peacekeeping Operations, on the situation in Côte d’Ivoire and on the Secretary-General’s special report requested by resolution 2062 with, inter alia, recommendations on possible adjustments in the structure and strength of the UN Operation in Côte d’Ivoire (UNOCI). Read more

  • Middle East

    In April the Council is expected to hold its quarterly open debate on the Middle East, following a briefing by Under-Secretary-General for Political Affairs Jeffrey Feltman. Discussions will likely focus on the stalled peace process and the humanitarian and security situations in Gaza and the West Bank. Feltman’s briefing will also likely cover recent events in Syria and Lebanon.In April the Council is expected to hold its quarterly open debate on the Middle East, following a briefing by Under-Secretary-General for Political Affairs Jeffrey Feltman. Discussions will likely focus on the stalled peace process and the humanitarian and security situations in Gaza and the West Bank. Feltman’s briefing will also likely cover recent events in Syria and Lebanon. Read more

  • Women, Peace and Security

    In April, the Council is expected to consider the Secretary-General’s report on sexual violence in conflict (S/2013/149) during an open debate, Rwandan Foreign Minister Louise Mushikiwabo is expected to preside. The Secretary-General and Zainab Bangura, the Special Representative on the issue will brief. Bangura is also likely to update the Council on her trip to the AU Summit in Addis Ababa in January which led to invitations for field visits to the Democratic Republic of Congo in late March and to Somalia in early April.  Read more

  • Peacebuilding

    In April, the Council is expected to receive a briefing by Ambassadors Abulkalam Abdul Momen (Bangladesh) and Ranko Vilović (Croatia), the former and current Chairs of the Peacebuilding Commission (PBC) on the sixth annual report of the PBC, covering the period from 1 January to 31 December 2012. Read more

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