January 2013 Monthly Forecast

• Overview

  Pakistan will hold the presidency of the Council in January and is planning open debates on a comprehensive approach to counter-terrorism and another on a multidimensional approach to peacekeeping. DRC, Syria and the recently authorised African-led International Support Mission in Mali are also likely to occupy the Council's time in January. Read more

• Status Update

  Recent developments on situations covered in this Forecast are in the relevant briefs. Interesting developments on other issues are included in this status update of Security Council activity in December 2012. Read more

• Notable Dates

  Notable Dates for January 2013 Read more

• In Hindsight: Security Council Working Methods

  On 26 November 2012, the Council held an open debate on its working methods. The all-day meeting enabled member states to take stock of what had been an eventful year on working methods, which culminated in two presidential notes being agreed in December in addition to the note of 5 June. Read more

• Mali

  The Council is expected to receive a briefing and hold consultations on the Secretary-General’s options for voluntary and UN-funded logistics support packages for an African-led International Support Mission in Mali (AFISMA). Read more

• UNOWA (West Africa)

  In January the Council expects a briefing from Said Djinnit, the Secretary-General’s Special Representative and head of the UN Office for West Africa (UNOWA), on the Secretary-General’s semi-annual report, including an update on the Gulf of Guinea piracy problem. Read more

• Côte d’Ivoire

  In January, the Council expects a briefing on the situation in Côte d’Ivoire and on the Secretary-General’s forthcoming report by Albert Gerard Koenders, Special Representative of the Secretary-General and head of the UN Operation in Côte d’Ivoire (UNOCI), followed by consultations. Read more

• Sudan and South Sudan

  In January, the Council will likely meet twice to discuss Sudan/South Sudan issues in accordance with resolution 2046. At press time, it was unclear whether there would be an outcome from these deliberations. Read more

• Sudan/Darfur

  In January, the Council will consider the Secretary-General’s quarterly report on the AU-UN Hybrid Operation in Darfur (UNAMID). At press time, no outcome was expected. The mandate of UNAMID expires on 31 July 2013. Read more

• Central African Republic

  In January, the Council is likely to be briefed by Margaret Vogt, the Secretary-General’s Special Representative and head of the UN Integrated Peacebuilding Office in the Central African Republic (BINUCA), on the latest Secretary-General’s report on BINUCA and most recent developments following the uprising by the Seleka rebel coalition. The briefing may be followed by consultations. Read more

• Burundi

  In January, the Council expects a briefing on Burundi by the Special Representative of the Secretary-General and head of the UN Office in Burundi (BNUB), Parfait Onanga-Anyanga (Gabon). A Secretary-General’s report with data, assessments and observations to guide the mission’s eventual evolution into a country team is expected mid-month. Read more

• Libya

  In January, the Council will likely be briefed on the situation in Libya via videoconference by Tarek Mitri (Lebanon), Special Representative of the Secretary-General and head of the UN Support Mission in Libya (UNSMIL), followed by consultations. Read more

• Israel/Palestine

  In January, the Council is expected to hold its quarterly open debate on the Middle East following a briefing from Special Coordinator for the Middle East Peace Process Robert Serry. The discussion will likely focus on the stalled peace process, the consequences of hostilities between Israel and Hamas in Gaza and the General Assembly resolution upgrading the status of Palestine at the UN from permanent observer to non-member observer state. Read more

• Yemen

  In January, Council members will likely be briefed by the Secretary-General’s Special Adviser Jamal Benomar on the situation in Yemen. A presidential or press statement is a possible outcome. Read more

• Cyprus

  In January, the Council is expected to renew the mandate of the UN Peacekeeping Force in Cyprus for a further six months before its mandate expires on 31 January. Read more

• UNRCCA (Central Asia)

  In January, Miroslav Jenča, the Special Representative of the Secretary-General and head of the UN Regional Centre for Preventive Diplomacy for Central Asia (UNRCCA) is scheduled to brief Council members in consultations. A press statement is likely. Read more