February 2012 Monthly Forecast

Posted 31 January 2012
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  • Somalia

    At press time, Council members were anticipating a report from the Secretary-General with more details on the new strategic concept recently endorsed by the AU for the next phase of the AU Mission in Somalia (AMISOM), including options for enhancing the mission's UN-financed support package. Read more

  • Overview

    Togo will have the presidency of the Security Council in February. Togo's President Faure Gnassingbé is likely to preside over a high-level debate on the impact of transnational organised crime on peace, security and stability in West Africa and the Sahel, as well as on the growing piracy problem in West Africa. The Secretary-General and representatives of ECOWAS and ECCAS are expected to brief. A presidential statement is a possible outcome.   Read more

  • Status Update

    Status Update of Security Council Activity in January 2012. Read more

  • Notable Dates

    Notable Dates for February 2012. Read more

  • Security Council Statistics in 2011

    With 66 resolutions adopted by the Security Council in 2011, the year saw an increase in the number of resolutions relative to 2009 and 2010, but a consistently lower total number of decisions relative to the entire 1992-2008 period. Read more

  • Libya

    The Council is likely to remain focused on post-conflict Libya in February, as the UN Support Mission in Libya (UNSMIL) carries out its mandate. Ian Martin, the Special Representative of the Secretary-General and head of UNSMIL, is expected to brief the Council. Read more

  • Threats to Peace and Security in West Africa and the Sahel Region

    In February the Council is expected to hold a high-level debate on the impact of transnational organised crime on peace, security and stability in West Africa and the Sahel region. The focus of the debate will include concerns arising from the situation in Libya, including illicit trafficking networks and arms flows in particular, an upsurge in terrorist attacks and other forms of destabilisation in the Sahel and the growing piracy problems in West Africa. Read more

  • Sudan and South Sudan

    The Council expects to hold a briefing and consultations on the Secretary-General's report on the UN Interim Security Force in Abyei (UNISFA). At press time, no outcome was anticipated. Read more

  • Democratic Republic of the Congo

    In February, either Roger Meece, the Special Representative of the Secretary-General and head of the UN Organisation Stabilisation Mission in the Democratic Republic of the Congo (MONUSCO), or Hervé Ladsous, the Under-Secretary-General for Peacekeeping Operations, will likely brief the Council on the Secretary-General's latest report on MONUSCO. The briefing will be followed by consultations. Read more

  • DPRK (North Korea)

    In February, the Council is expected to be briefed in informal consultations by Ambassador José Filipe Moraes Cabral (Portugal), chair of the Democratic People's Republic of Korea (DPRK) Sanctions Committee. The committee's panel of experts, whose mandate was extended in resolution 1985 (2011) until 12 June, is due to submit its final report to the committee by 13 May. Read more

  • Kosovo

    The Council is expected to hold a debate on the UN Mission in Kosovo (UNMIK) in February. Farid Zarif, the Special Representative and head of mission, is expected to brief the Council on developments and the quarterly report that was due in late January. (The EU Rule of Law Mission in Kosovo [EULEX], which was deployed in 2008, operates under the overall authority of UNMIK. EULEX's mandate expires on 14 June 2012.) Read more

  • Sudan/Darfur

    The Council will likely renew the mandate of the Panel of Experts of the Sudan Sanctions Committee, which expires on 19 February. Read more

  • Timor-Leste

    The Council is expected to hold a briefing and consultations on the UN Integrated Mission in Timor-Leste (UNMIT) in February. The Special Representative of the Secretary-General in Timor-Leste, Ameerah Haq, is expected to brief the Council. Timor-Leste will likely be represented by Prime Minister Xanana Gusmão or President José Ramos-Horta, possibly accompanied by others at the ministerial level. Read more

  • Women, Peace and Security

    In February the Council is expected to consider the Secretary-General's annual report (S/2012/33) on conflict-related sexual violence. Margot Wallström, the Secretary-General's Special Representative on the issue, will likely brief the Council. A debate, with a presidential statement or resolution as an outcome, is possible. Read more

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