November 2011 Monthly Forecast

• Libya

  The Council is likely to remain focused on post-conflict Libya in December as the UN Support Mission in Libya (UNSMIL) deploys to its full capacity. Ian Martin, the Special Representative of the Secretary-General and head of UNSMIL, is expected to brief the Council. Read more

• Security Council Subsidiary Bodies

  In December, the Council is expected to be briefed by the chairpersons of subsidiary bodies whose countries will be finishing their term on the Council. Read more

• Cyprus

  In December, the Council is expected to renew the mandate of the UN Peacekeeping Force in Cyprus (UNFICYP) for another six months. The Secretary-General is due to submit a report by 1 December and a briefing by the Special Representative of the Secretary-General and Head of Mission, Lisa Buttenheim, is expected before the renewal of the mandate. It appears unlikely that the Council's decision will differ significantly from resolution 1986, which was the last mandate renewal. UNFICYP's current mandate expires on 15 December. Read more

• Peacekeeping

  In November, the Council is expected to hold consultations on peacekeeping that will include briefings from Hervé Ladsous, Head of the Department of Peacekeeping Operations (DPKO), and a high-level official from the Department of Field Support (DFS). The role of peacekeepers in early peacebuilding will likely be the focus of the meeting. No formal outcome is anticipated. Read more

• Overview

  Portugal will hold the presidency of the Security Council in November. Several debates and briefings will be held. President Aníbal Cavaco Silva of Portugal is expected to chair the open debate on protection of civilians in armed conflict. Secretary-General Ban... Read more

• DPRK (North Korea)

  As chair of the Democratic People's Republic of Korea (DPRK) Sanctions Committee, Ambassador José Filipe Moraes Cabral (Portugal) is expected to brief the Council in informal consultations in November. On 10 June—in resolution 1985—the Council extended the mandate of the panel of experts that supports the committee until 12 June 2012. The panel is scheduled to provide the Committee with its midterm report by 12 November. Read more

• International Court of Justice Elections

  The Security Council and General Assembly will both hold elections for the International Court of Justice (ICJ) on the same day in November. Five judges will be elected to the ICJ for nine-year terms, starting on 6 February 2012. Read more

• Emerging Challenges

  In November the Council is expected to hold an open debate on a range of mutually reinforcing and interlinked issues that Council members view as emerging challenges to international peace and security. These are likely to include threats posed by the HIV/AIDS and other global health pandemics; transnational organised crime; the effects of climate change, including drought and desertification leading to mass population movements and related disruptions; and drug and human trafficking. Read more

• Bosnia and Herzegovina

  In November, the Council is expecting a report from the High Representative for Bosnia and Herzegovina, Valentin Inzko (Austria), on implementation of the 1995 Dayton Peace Agreement. A debate, with a briefing by Inzko, is expected, and the Council is likely to reauthorise EUFOR, the EU force in the country, for another 12 months. EUFOR's current mandate expires on 18 November. Read more

• Yemen

  The Council is expecting a briefing by Jamal Benomar, Special Adviser to the Secretary-General on Yemen. The briefing is required by resolution 2014 adopted on 21 October. Read more

• Working Methods

  The Council is expected to hold an open debate on Security Council working methods in November. No formal Council action is expected, but the debate will inform the work of the Council's Informal Working Group on Documentation and Other Procedural Questions, which is chaired by Bosnia and Herzegovina until the end of 2011. Read more

• Sudan and South Sudan

  In November, the Council expects to receive a briefing and hold consultations on the Secretary-General's report on the UN Mission in South Sudan (UNMISS). The briefing may be provided by Hervé Ladsous, Head of the Department of Peacekeeping Operations, or Hilde Johnson, Head of UNMISS, or possibly both. Read more

• Guinea-Bissau

  In November, Council members are expected to consider the Secretary-General's report on the UN Integrated Peacebuilding Office in Guinea-Bissau (UNIOGBIS), which was to be submitted by the end of October. The head of UNIOGBIS, Joseph Mutaboba, will likely brief the Council. No Council action is expected in November. Read more

• Timor-Leste

  The Council is expected to hold a debate on Timor-Leste in November, which Portugal's Foreign Minister Paulo Portas is expected to chair. Timor-Leste is likely to be represented at a high level, with the president or prime minister likely to address the debate. Other concerned member states, including those in the core group on Timor-Leste, may also request to participate. Special Representative of the Secretary-General in Timor-Leste, Ameerah Haq, is expected to brief the Council. Read more

• Status Update

  Status Update of Security Council Activity in October 2011. Read more

• Libya

  The Council is expected to remain focused on post-conflict Libya in November as the UN Support Mission in Libya (UNSMIL) deploys to its full capacity. The Council expects a number of briefings in November including Ian Martin, Special Representative and head of UNSMIL; B. Lynn Pascoe, Under-Secretary-General for Political Affairs; and Luis Moreno Ocampo, the Prosecutor of the International Criminal Court (ICC). Read more

• Lebanon

  In late November, Council members are expected to hold consultations on the Secretary-General's report on the implementation of resolution 1701, which in August 2006 called for a cessation of hostilities between Hezbollah and Israel. Representatives from the Department of Political Affairs and the Department of Peacekeeping Operations will brief the Council. Read more

• Counter-Terrorism

  In November, the chairs of the counter-terrorism-related committees—the 1267/1989 Committee, the Counter-Terrorism Committee (CTC), and the 1540 Committee—are expected to brief the Council. No Council outcome is anticipated. Read more

• Democratic Republic of the Congo

  In November, the Council expects a briefing on the Secretary-General's latest report on the UN Organisation Stabilisation Mission in the Democratic Republic of the Congo (MONUSCO), due by the end of October, by Special Representative of the Secretary-General Roger Meece. Read more

• Somalia

  In November, the Emergency Relief Coordinator for Somalia is due to report to the Council on implementation of the humanitarian exemption under resolution 1972 with regard to the asset-freeze provision of the Somalia sanctions regime and on any impediments to the delivery of humanitarian assistance in Somalia. A briefing on the report is expected. Read more

• Eritrea

  In November, it is possible that the Council will adopt a resolution that would impose additional sanctions on Eritrea. Read more

• Protection of Civilians

  In November, the Council is scheduled to hold its biannual open debate on protection of civilians in armed conflict. The Secretary-General, High Commissioner for Human Rights Navanethem Pillayand Philip Spoerri, Director for International Law and Cooperation at the International Committee of the Red Cross, are expected to speak. Read more

• Notable Dates

  Notable Dates for November 2011. Read more

• Kosovo

  In November the Council is expecting the UN Mission in Kosovo (UNMIK) quarterly report, a briefing by the new Special Representative and head of mission, Farid Zarif, and a debate on the situation in Kosovo. Read more

• LRA/UNOCA

  In November, the Council expects a briefing and consultations on the Secretary-General's report on the LRA by Assistant Secretary-General for Political Affairs Tayé-Brook Zerihoun. The Council will also be briefed by the Special Representative of the Secretary-General and head of UNOCA, Abou Moussa, on the work of that office. Read more