November 2010 Monthly Forecast

Posted 29 October 2010
Download Complete Forecast: PDF
  • Status Update

    Status Update of Security Council Activity in October 2010. Read more

  • Western Sahara

    In November, the Personal Envoy of the Secretary-General for Western Sahara, Christopher Ross, is expected to brief Council members in informal consultations after an informal meeting between Morocco and the Polisario Front to be held early in November. Read more

  • DPRK (North Korea)

    In November the chair of the Democratic People’s Republic of Korea (DPRK) Sanctions Committee is expected to brief the Council and the committee’s panel of experts is expected to provide a midterm report on its work, which is due by 12 November. No new Council decision is expected. Read more

  • Bosnia and Herzegovina

    In November, the Council expects a report from the High Representative for Bosnia and Herzegovina, Valentin Inzko of Austria, on implementation of the 1995 Dayton Peace Agreement. A debate, with a briefing by Inzko, is expected and the Council seems likely to reauthorise the EU force in the country for another 12 months. Read more

  • Sudan

    A ministerial-level meeting is expected on 16 November where the Council will be briefed on preparations for the referenda in Sudan, the situation in Darfur and progress of the Doha peace talks. Read more

  • Protection of Civilians

    In November, the Council is expecting a report from the Secretary-General and is scheduled to hold its biannual open debate on protection of civilians in armed conflict. Read more

  • Democratic Republic of the Congo

    In November the Council will consider the renewal of the DRC sanctions regime and the mandate of the group of experts, which expire on 30 November. The DRC Sanctions Committee is scheduled to meet in mid November to discuss the final report of the group of experts. Read more

  • Côte d’Ivoire

    In early November the Council will be briefed by the Department of Peacekeeping Operations on the situation in Côte d’Ivoire and the work of UNOCI, and in particular the elections (which at press time remained on track to take place on the 31 October). The mandate of UNOCI expires on 31 December. Read more

  • Timor-Leste

    The Council is considering a visit to Timor-Leste at the end of November. Japan, as the lead country on Timor-Leste, has pushed for this visit. The number of Council members going on the mission was uncertain at press time. Read more

  • Notable Dates

    Notable dates for November 2010. Read more

  • Conflict Prevention: Horizon Scanning

    The UK is planning to invite Under-Secretary-General for Political Affairs B. Lynn Pascoe to consultations early in the month for a “horizon scanning session”. This could stimulate an overview discussion focusing on issues of concern in November including ones that may not be on the Council agenda for the month. Read more

  • Guinea-Bissau

    The Council is expected to consider Guinea-Bissau in November. There will be a report of the Secretary-General on UNIOGBIS, and the head of the UN office, Joseph Mutaboba, may brief the Council. The mandate of UNIOGBIS expires on 31 December. It seems likely that the Council will take action to renew UNIOGBIS in November (ahead of schedule) in order to alleviate the Council’s heavy December workload. Read more

  • Somalia

    The Council is expected to renew the antipiracy provisions of resolution 1897 , which expire on 30 November. A Secretary-General’s report on Somali piracy is due by 30 October. Under-Secretary-General for Political Affairs B. Lynn Pascoe is likely to brief the Council. (A meeting of the International Contact Group on Piracy off the Coast of Somalia is scheduled for 10 November in New York under the chairmanship of the Republic of Korea.) Read more

  • Iraq

    The Council is expecting to discuss the Development Fund for Iraq in November. The UN Controller appears likely to brief the Council in an open meeting and Iraqi representatives may also address the Council. A follow-on closed meeting is also possible. No Council action is expected at time of writing. Read more

  • Counter-Terrorism

    The chairs of the three counterterrorism committees—the 1267 Committee, the CTC and the 1540 Committee—are due to brief the Council in November. (They usually provide a joint briefing of the Council twice each year.) No formal outcome is anticipated, but an open debate is expected to follow the briefing. Read more

  • Aide Memoire

    Important matters pending include: In resolution 1894 (2009) on protection of civilians, the Council requested the Secretary-General to develop guidance for UN operations and other relevant missions on protection reporting for enhancing the Council’s monitoring and oversight. There has been... Read more

  • Peacekeeping

    In late November members of the Council are expected to hold consultations on peacekeeping, including briefings from the DPKO and DFS. Following the August 2009 presidential statement on peacekeeping, which encouraged regular discussions on peacekeeping with the field support and peacekeeping departments, the Council has held quarterly meetings on peacekeeping. The November discussion is likely to focus on overlap between peacebuilding and peacekeeping. Read more

  • Overview

    The UK will hold the presidency of the Council in November. With several days taken up by the holidays (Eid and Thanksgiving), a retreat and a mission to Timor Leste, the calendar will be very full. The annual retreat with... Read more

  • Kosovo

    In November head of UNMIK, Lamberto Zannier, is expected to brief the Council. Discussion is likely to focus on the upcoming EU-brokered talks between Serbia and Kosovo. It seems unlikely that the Council will take any formal action. Read more

  • Lebanon

    In November the Council is expected to hold consultations on the Secretary-General’s report on the implementation of resolution 1701, which called for a cessation of hostilities between Hezbollah and Israel in August 2006. UN Special Coordinator for Lebanon Michael Williams is expected to brief. Read more

Download Complete Forecast: PDF