August 2010 Monthly Forecast

• DPRK

  In August the chair of the DPRK Sanctions Committee is expected to give his quarterly briefing to the Council. No new Council decision is expected. Read more

• Overview

  Russia will hold the presidency of the Security Council in August. Mandates of two operations will come up for renewal. Early in the month and prior to the mandate expiring on 7 August the Council is expecting a briefing on... Read more

• Liberia

  In August the Council is due to receive a report from the Secretary-General on the situation in Liberia but is not expected to formally consider it until September, prior to the 30 September expiration of UNMIL’s mandate. However, it is possible that experts will begin consultations on the issues. Read more

• Iraq

  The mandate of UNAMI, the UN political mission in Iraq, expires on 7 August. Renewal for 12 months seems likely. The Council is also expecting the Secretary-General's regular ninety-day report on UNAMI in August. A briefing by Special Representative Ad Melkert is expected. Read more

• Peacekeeping

  The Council is expected to have a briefing on UN peacekeeping from a number of UN Force Commanders and the Secretariat in early August. At press time the format and participants had not been decided. Among the possible format options were a debate involving just the Council members and a closed briefing. Read more

• Somalia: Piracy

  In August the Council will consider the Secretary-General’s recommendations on piracy off the coast of Somalia, which it had requested in resolution 1918. There are quite wide differences among Council members regarding the prosecution and incarceration of pirates captured off the coast of Somalia, and at press time it was unclear how this issue would evolve. Read more

• Israel/Palestine

  Regular monthly consultations on the Middle East are expected in August. Council members are mindful that developments in August have the potential to shape the approach to the Middle East quite significantly—in particular, whether or not there will be a shift from proximity to direct talks. Read more

• Chad/CAR

  In August, the Council expects to receive the Secretary-General’s report on MINURCAT. Resolution 1923 requested the Secretary-General in the aftermath of the request by the Government of Chad for MINURCAT’s withdrawal, to report on the eroding security and humanitarian situation, including movements of refugees and internally displaced persons in eastern Chad and northeastern Central African Republic (CAR), and on the progress towards the fulfillment by the Government of Chad of the tasks and benchmarks set out in the resolution addressing protection of civilians and voluntary returns. A briefing by the head of MINURCAT, Youssef Mahmoud, is likely. Read more

• Lebanon

  In August the Security Council is expected to extend the UNIFIL mandate for a further year. The mandate expires on 31 August. This is the fourth renewal since the cessation of hostilities between Lebanon and Israel in 2006 and it comes at a time of increased tension and uncertainty. Some words from the Council designed to calm the current situation are possible. Read more

• Status Update

  Status Update of Security Council Activity in July 2010. Read more

• Kosovo

  In early August the Special Representative and head of UNMIK, Lamberto Zannier, is expected to brief the Council on the Secretary-General’s latest report on Kosovo. This seems likely to trigger a discussion on the implications of the ICJ advisory opinion, announced on 22 July.   Read more

• UNRCCA (Kyrgyzstan)

  Council members are expecting a briefing in August from Miroslav Jenča, the Special Representative of the Secretary-General and Head of the Regional Centre for Preventive Diplomacy for Central Asia (UNRCCA), in early August. Since the centre was established in December 2007 there have been three briefings to the Council on the activities of the UNRCCA at about six-monthly intervals. Read more

• Peacebuilding

  Council members have before them two major reports on peacebuilding: a report from the Secretary-General (S/2010/386)—this report was specifically requested by the Council in 2009; and the report of the three co-facilitators of the 2010 UN peacebuilding architecture review process mandated in the 2005 resolutions establishing the Peacebuilding Commission (PBC). Read more

• Counter-Terrorism

  The Al-Qaida and Taliban Sanctions Committee completed in the last week of July its review of the consolidated list of individuals and entities subject to its sanctions regime. In August the committee’s monitoring team is expected to finalise its report on the outcome of the review of the list. At press time it was unclear whether there would be any related Council or Committee action in August. Read more

• Notable Dates

  Notable dates for August 2010. Read more

• Aide Memoire

  Important matters pending include: The quarterly reports on ISAF in Afghanistan are now about six months late. The latest report was circulated on 1 July and covered the period from 1 November 2009 to 31 January 2010. The previous report... Read more