September 2007 Monthly Forecast

Posted 30 August 2007
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  • International Criminal Tribunals

    At the time of writing drafting had begun on a resolution to extend Carla Del Ponte's term as prosecutor of the International Criminal Tribunal for the former Yugoslavia (ICTY) until 31 December. Del Ponte's term ends on 15 September 2007 and the Secretary-General has informally indicated that he will be asking the Council to extend Del Ponte's term to the end of the year. Read more

  • Burundi

    The Council may possibly hold consultations to discuss the political and security situation in Burundi. African members seem increasingly uncomfortable with the "hands off" approach of recent months. Possible formal action includes a presidential or press statement. The mandate of the UN Integrated Office in Burundi (BINUB) expires on 1 January 2008. Read more

  • Overview

    In September France will have the presidency of the Council. For most UN members the main focus in September is the General Debate which marks the opening of the General Assembly. As always, a very large cast of high-level delegations... Read more

  • Notable Dates

    Notables dates for September 2007. Read more

  • Status Update

    Status Update of Security Council Activity in August 2007. Read more

  • Aide Memoire

    Important matters pending before the Council include: The 2005 World Summit requested the Security Council to consider reforms relating to the Military Staff Committee. This has yet to be addressed. Since a briefing in March, the Council has not addressed the... Read more

  • Sudan

    September is likely to be another important month for Council members regarding Sudan. Various important events are scheduled and are seen by Council members as significant opportunities to maintain momentum on both the peacekeeping and political tracks in Darfur. Separate discussions on the Secretary-General's August UNMIS report seemed possible. Read more

  • Iran

    Council action on Iran in September seems unlikely. However, senior officers from the EU3+3 (France, Germany and the UK plus China, Russia and the US) may discuss Iran in New York in late September during the high-level section of the UN General Assembly in order to define a common position on the way forward regarding Iran's nuclear programme. Read more

  • Liberia

    The Council is expected to renew the mandate of the UN Mission in Liberia (UMMIL) which ends on 30 September. Action on the recommendations of the Secretary-General contained in the report regarding the gradual drawdown of UNMIL over the next few years is also likely. It is unclear whether the Council will also take up outstanding issues relating to diamond sanctions. Read more

  • Chad/CAR

    The Council has signalled it is ready to authorise a multidimensional UN operation in eastern Chad and northeastern Central African Republic (CAR) and an EU military operation to provide security for civilians at risk and for UN personnel. This would be subject to agreement on details by the EU, the UN and Chad, but it is unclear whether this process can proceed quickly enough for a Council resolution in September. Read more

  • Lebanon

    Council members are likely to follow closely the Lebanese presidential elections, due to take place on 25 September. But in terms of scheduled Council activity the only focus in September will be the special tribunal to try those suspected in the Hariri murder and other linked assassinations. A progress report from the Secretary-General on the implementation of resolution 1757 (establishing the tribunal under Chapter VII of the UN Charter) is expected by 5 September. Read more

  • Sierra Leone

    Council members are expected to follow developments related to Sierra Leone's run-off presidential elections, which are scheduled for 8 September. There will be heightened concern because outbreaks of political violence in both the capital, Freetown, and in the east of Sierra Leone. A further presidential statement on the elections is a possibility. Read more

  • Haiti

    The Secretary-General's report on the UN Stabilization Mission in Haiti (MINUSTAH) is before the Council. The mandate of MINUSTAH expires on 15 October. Before then, the Group of Friends of Haiti is expected to review the report and discuss options for a draft resolution. Council discussions on the report seem unlikely in September. Read more

  • Afghanistan

    The mandate of the International Security Assistance Force (ISAF) expires on 13 October, but the Council may renew ISAF's mandate in September. (As in 2006, early consideration is possible in order to accommodate Germany's desire that a Council resolution be in place before its parliament in October considers extending the mandate of its troops in ISAF.) Read more

  • Timor-Leste

    The Council is likely to discuss the current situation in Timor-Leste and the future of the UN Integrated Mission in Timor-Leste (UNMIT), in the context of the new Secretary-General's report and violent incidents in August. The report was due by the end of August, and at press time it seemed likely that it would recommend a continuation of UNMIT's current size and mandate for the time being. Read more

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