August 2006 Monthly Forecast

• Status Update

  Status Update of Security Council Activity in July 2006. Read more

• Aide Memoire

  Important matters awaited include: On Darfur, the report from the joint UN/AU assessment mission, requested by resolution 1679 within one week of the return of mission “on all relevant aspects of the mandate of the United Nations operation in Darfur, including force structure,... Read more

• Somalia

  No Council decisions on Somalia are scheduled this month. However, given the very unstable situation on the ground, Somalia is likely to feature in some way on the Council programme of work. Read more

• Timor-Leste

  In August the Council will decide on the shape of a new UN mission in Timor- Leste. The Council is expecting a report from the Secretary-General with recommendations regarding the new mandate, based on the conclusions of an assessment mission led by the Secretary-General's Special Envoy for Timor-Leste, Ian Martin, as well as input from the Secretary-General's Special Representative in the country, Sukehiro Hasegawa. Read more

• Haiti

  The mandate for the UN Stabilisation Mission in Haiti (MINUSTAH) expires on 15 August. The Council will review the Secretary-General's recommendations for MINUSTAH. While not expected to advocate major changes in the mission's structure, this report will likely suggest a shift in the way the mission implements its mandate to incorporate an increased focus on institution-building, particularly in the security and justice sectors. Read more

• Iraq

  On 11 August, the mandate of the UN Assistance Mission in Iraq (UNAMI) will expire. The Council is expected to approve a technical renewal of UNAMI for an additional 12 months. Detailed substantive discussion is unlikely. Read more

• Côte d’Ivoire

  The Council will keep under review prospects for holding the elections as scheduled on 31 October but final conclusions will probably not be drawn until September. Formal action in the form of further targeted sanctions is likely if the obstruction of the voter-identification process by supporters of President Laurent Gbagbo continues. Read more

• Israel/Lebanon

  At press time, the Council is considering a one-month technical rollover of the UN Interim Force in Lebanon (UNIFIL) in order to provide some time either to reconfigure UNIFIL or replace it with a stronger force. Read more

• Upcoming Sanctions Issues

  August 2006 Chart in PDF Format • July 2006 Chart in PDF Format Counter-Terrorism Committee (S/RES/1373) Resolutions S/RES/1373 (28 Sep 2001) S/RES/1377 (12 Nov 2001) S/RES/1456 (20 Jan 2003) S/RES/1535 (26 Mar 2004) S/RES/1566 (8 Oct 2004) S/RES/1624 (14 Sept 2005) Mandate Resolution 1373 established obligations on all states to... Read more

• Overview

  Ghana will have the Presidency of the Council in what promises to be an unusually busy month.  A thematic debate on consolidation of peace in West Africa is expected. Clearly the crisis in the Middle East will dominate the Council’s... Read more

• Notable Dates

  Notable dates for August 2006. Read more

• Darfur/Sudan

  Contrary to expectations, the Council did not discuss Darfur in July, except for a report from the Chair of the 1591 Sanctions Committee in consultations on 27 July. Perhaps attention was diverted due to events in North Korea, Gaza and Lebanon. Read more

• Iran

  At press time, the Council is poised to adopt a resolution on Iran. The resolution, implementing an agreement reached in Paris on 12 July by the P5 and Germany (P5+1), responds to concerns about ongoing delay in securing a response to the package of incentives proposed to Iran in June in order to persuade Iran to re-engage in negotiations over a peaceful nuclear programme and comply with previous resolutions by the IAEA Board of Governors. Read more