August 2018 Monthly Forecast

Overview

During its presidency in August, the UK plans two discretionary events, both anticipated in the last week of the month and likely to be presided over at ministerial level. One of these events will be an open debate on “Mediation and Settlement of Disputes”, with Secretary-General António Guterres and a member of his High-Level Advisory Board on Mediation expected to brief. There may also be a female civil society briefer. Furthermore, the UK has scheduled a public meeting on the situation in Myanmar, one year after the 25 August 2017 attacks by the Arakan Rohingya Salvation Army on security posts and the violent reaction by the Myanmar military forces that led to a massive exodus to Bangladesh. Here, too, Guterres is expected to brief.

There will be several meetings on the Middle East in August:

The head of the UN Office of Counter-Terrorism, Under-Secretary-General Vladimir Voronkov, and Michèle Coninsx, the Executive Director of the Counter-Terrorism Committee Executive Directorate, will brief the Security Council on the Secretary-General’s strategic-level report on the threat posed by ISIL (Da’esh), followed by consultations.

The chair of the 1718 Democratic People’s Republic of Korea Sanctions Committee, Ambassador Karel van Oosterom (Netherlands), is expected to provide Council members with his regular 90-day briefing on the work of the committee.

Several meetings focused on Africa are possible:

The mandate of UNIFIL is due to be renewed in August. Also in August, the Council is expected to consider the renewal of the measures adopted through resolution 2374 in September 2017, which established a targeted sanctions regime on Mali, and the mandate of the panel of experts. The measures—travel ban and assets freeze—are aimed at individuals and entities engaged in actions or policies that threaten the peace, security or stability of Mali. So far no designations have been made by the 2374 Mali Sanctions Committee.

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