June 2018 Monthly Forecast

Posted 31 May 2018
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  • Overview

    Russia will have the presidency in June. Read more

  • Status Update

    Status Update since our May Forecast. Read more

  • Security Council Elections 2018

    The 72nd session of the UN General Assembly is expected to hold elections on 8 June for five non-permanent members of the Security Council for the term 2019-2020. (For more detailed information please see our 21 May Research Report: Security Council Elections 2018.) Read more

  • Mali

    In June, the Council is due to renew the mandate of MINUSMA. The Council also expects to receive a briefing from the Under-Secretary-General for Peacekeeping Operations, Jean-Pierre Lacroix, followed by consultations. MINUSMA’s mandate ends on 30 June. Read more

  • Syria

    In June, the Council expects to receive the monthly briefings on political and humanitarian developments in Syria and on the use of chemical weapons. Read more

  • International Criminal Tribunals

    In June, the Security Council expects to hold the semi-annual debate on the International Residual Mechanism for Criminal Tribunals (IRMCT), which was established in 2010 to carry out the remaining essential functions of the International Criminal Tribunal for Rwanda (ICTR) and the International Criminal Tribunal for the former Yugoslavia (ICTY) after their respective closures. The IRMCT’s president, Judge Theodor Meron, and the IRMCT’s prosecutor, Serge Brammertz, are expected to brief and to meet with the Informal Working Group on International Tribunals prior to the debate. A resolution is expected extending the term of the prosecutor, which expires on 30 June. Read more

  • Libya

    In June, the Council is expected to renew the authorisation for member states, acting nationally or through regional organisations, to inspect vessels on the high seas off the coast of Libya bound to or from the country that they have reasonable grounds to believe are violating the arms embargo. The current authorisation expires on 15 June. The mandate of the UN Support Mission in Libya (UNSMIL) expires on 15 September, and the mandate of the Panel of Experts assisting the sanctions committee expires on 12 November. Read more

  • UNOCA/LRA

    In June, François Louncény Fall, Special Representative and head of the UN Regional Office for Central Africa (UNOCA), is expected to brief the Security Council on the Secretary-General’s semi-annual report on UNOCA and the implementation of the UN regional strategy to combat the Lord’s Resistance Army (LRA). Read more

  • Sudan (Darfur)

    In June, the Council is expected to renew the mandate of the AU/UN Hybrid Operation in Darfur (UNAMID), ahead of its expiry on 30 June. Prior to the adoption of the resolution, the Council will receive a briefing on UNAMID, followed by consultations. Ambassador Joanna Wronecka (Poland), chair of the 1591 Sudan Sanctions Committee, is expected to provide the quarterly briefing to Council members on the Committee’s work.The Council also expects to receive the semi-annual briefing of the ICC Prosecutor related to the court’s work on Darfur. Read more

  • Peacebuilding and Sustaining Peace

    In June, the Council expects briefings by Ambassadors Ion Jinga (Romania) and Cho Tae-yul (Republic of Korea), the current and former chair, respectively, of the Peacebuilding Commission (PBC), presenting the PBC’s annual report. On the same day, Council members are expected to convene an informal interactive dialogue with representatives of the PBC. Read more

  • Yemen

    In June, the Special Envoy, Martin Griffiths, is expected to brief the Security Council on Yemen and to present a framework for peace negotiations. Read more

  • UNDOF (Golan Heights)

    In June, the Council is expected to extend for six months the mandate of the UN Disengagement Observer Force (UNDOF), which expires on 30 June. A representative of the Department of Peacekeeping Operations is expected to brief Council members in consultations on the most recent UNDOF report. UNDOF was established in 1974 to monitor the ceasefire between Israel and Syria. Read more

  • Afghanistan

    In June, the Council will hold its quarterly debate on Afghanistan and will consider the latest Secretary-General’s report on UNAMA. Special Representative for Afghanistan and head of UNAMA Tadamichi Yamamoto is expected to brief. A representative from the UN Office on Drugs and Crime might also brief. The mandate of UNAMA expires on 17 March 2019. Read more

  • International Court of Justice

    On 22 June, the Security Council and General Assembly will elect a judge to the International Court of Justice, due to the resignation of Judge Hisashi Owada (Japan), effective 7 June. Read more

  • Democratic Republic of the Congo

    In June, the Security Council is due to renew the Democratic Republic of the Congo (DRC) sanctions regime and the mandate of the Group of Experts assisting the 1533 DRC Sanctions Committee. The Council will continue to monitor the security and political situation in the DRC and may meet on this, depending on how events in the country unfold. Read more

  • Central African Republic

    In June, Assistant Secretary-General for Peacekeeping Operations Bintou Keita is expected to brief on the latest developments in the country and the most recent UN Multidimensional Integrated Stabilization Mission in the Central African Republic (MINUSCA) report, due on 14 June. Read more

  • Iran

    In June, the Secretary-General will report on the implementation of resolution 2231, which endorsed the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA) on Iran’s nuclear programme. The Council is also expected to receive reports from the Joint Commission, established by the parties to the JCPOA to oversee its implementation, and from the Council’s 2231 facilitator, Ambassador Karel van Oosterom (the Netherlands). Briefings are expected from Under-Secretary-General for Political Affairs Rosemary DiCarlo,  van Oosterom, and a representative of the EU in its capacity as coordinator of the Joint Commission.   Read more

  • South Sudan

    In June, the Council is expecting a briefing, followed by consultations, on the Secretary-General’s 90-day report on the UN Mission in South Sudan (UNMISS), together with his monthly report on violations of the Status of Forces Agreement or obstructions to UNMISS, as requested in resolution 2406.   Read more

  • UNRCCA (Central Asia)

    In June, Special Representative and head of UNRCCA Natalia Gherman will brief Council members in consultations. Read more

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