February 2017 Monthly Forecast

Posted 31 January 2017
Download Complete Forecast: PDF

Overview

 

During Ukraine’s presidency in February there will be two open debates, one at ministerial-level on conflicts in Europe and another focused on protection of critical infrastructure against terrorist acts. Pavlo Klimkin, Ukraine’s minister of foreign affairs, will chair both debates.

The Council will be following the situation in the Central African Republic (CAR) closely, with briefings and discussions on MINUSCA and the CAR Sanctions Committee planned. There will be discussion or mandate renewals on several other African situations this month:

  • Côte d’Ivoire, on the final report of UNOCI;
  • Guinea-Bissau, renewal of the mandate of UNIOGBIS;
  • Libya, on UNSMIL; and
  • Sudan, renewal of the mandate of the Panel of Experts of the 1591 Sudan Sanctions Committee.

The Council will also be monitoring closely developments in Burundi and South Sudan, although no formal meetings are scheduled. Depending on developments, the situation in The Gambia may require the attention of the Council. 

On Syria, Council members will receive their regular monthly briefings on the political, chemical and humanitarian tracks. They will be following closely the outcome of the Astana talks and the preparations for the UN-facilitated Geneva talks scheduled for 8 February.  On chemical weapons, the Council is expecting a report from the Joint Investigative Mechanism (JIM). Other Middle East issues that will be considered include:

  • Iraq, an update on the activities of UNAMI and impact of the campaign to re-take Mosul from ISIL;
  • Israel/Palestine, the regular monthly meeting; and
  • Yemen, renewal of the mandate of the 2140 Sanctions Committee and its Panel of Experts.

The Council will have its quarterly meeting on UNMIK in Kosovo, and another on the activities of the 1718 DPRK Sanctions Committee.

Other issues on the February programme of work include annual briefings on the activities of the Organisation for Security and Cooperation in Europe and on the UN Regional Centre for Preventive Diplomacy for Central Asia

There will also be a meeting on the implementation of the 1267/1989/2253 ISIL (Da’esh) and Al-Qaida Sanctions regime.