August 2011 Monthly Forecast



Expected Council Action
The Council expects in August a briefing on Somalia, to be followed by consultations, from the Secretary-General’s Special Representative for Somalia, Augustine Mahiga. Among the issues Mahiga is likely to focus on are the roadmap for the implementation of the June Kampala accord and the preparations for the consultative meeting of the stakeholders in Somalia to discuss the roadmap. The impact of the famine declared in parts of the country is also likely to be discussed.

At press time it was unclear if Mahiga will brief in person or by videoconferencing and whether there would be an outcome. 

The Consultative Meeting on Ending the Transition is being planned by a preparatory committee, comprising representatives from the Transitional Federal Government, Transitional Federal Parliament and the regions of Puntland and Galmudug. It will be a follow-up to the 9 June Kampala accord on transitional issues that broke a long stalemate between key actors within the transitional institutions. It is hoped that the meeting will take place by 20 August, the originally envisaged date for ending the transitional period, in a location within Somalia.

A key issue for the Council will be the role it could play in encouraging maintaining the momentum that appears to have emerged towards ending the transitional period and consolidating the political process.

UN Documents

Security Council Resolutions

  • S/RES/1972 (17 March 2011) extended the humanitarian asset freeze exemption for another 16 months.

Presidential Statements

  • S/PRST/2011/13 (24 June 2011) welcomed the signing of the Kampala Accord.
  • S/PRST/2011/6 (10 March 2011) stressed the need for a comprehensive strategy for Somalia.

Other Relevant Facts

Special Representative of the Secretary-General

Augustine  Mahiga (Tanzania)

Full Forecast