May 2011 Monthly Forecast

Posted 29 April 2011
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Notable Dates

Report Due

Reports for Consideration in May

Requesting Document

19 April

SG report on 1559 (Lebanon)

S/PRST/2004/36 and S/RES/1559

26 April

ICC report on Libya


30 April

SG report on post MINURCAT


30 April

SG report on Kosovo (UNMIK)


early May

SG report on Burundi (BNUB)


early May

SG report on post-DFI mechanism


1 May

SG report on Somalia (AMISOM)


3 May

Bosnia and Herzegovina High Representative report


13 May

SG report on the DRC (MONUSCO)


13 May

SG report on Sudan


18 May

DRC Group of Experts


May 2011

Other Important Dates

early May

The next meeting of the Contact Group on Libya is expected to convene in Rome.

2-4 May

Gubernatorial elections are expected in Sudan.

8 May

First-round presidential elections are expected in Chad.

10 May

The Council will hold an open debate on Protection of Civilians

22 May

Parliamentary elections are scheduled in Cyprus.

Also likely in May:

  • An open debate on the DRC is expected.
  • The team of experts on the rule of law, established pursuant to resolution 1960, will visit the DRC to help investigators and prosecutors of recent sexual violence incidents.
  • Alassane Ouattara will be sworn in as president Côte d’Ivoire.
  • Council members will visit Addis Ababa, Nairobi and several locations in Sudan.

Briefings are expected by the:

Special Representatives of the Secretary-General:

  • Karin Landgren, on Burundi
  • Lamberto Zannier, on Kosovo
  • Margot Wallström on sexual violence in the DRC
  • Augustine Mahiga, on Somalia

Chairs of:

  • Burundi configuration, Ambassador Paul Seger, on Burundi
  • The three counterterrorism-related committees (the 1267 Committee, the CTC and the 1540 Committee)
  • DPRK Sanctions Committee, Ambassador José Filipe Moraes Cabral

As well as:

  • The Representative of the World Bank, on the DRC
  • The Former Head of UN Peacekeeping, Jean-Marie Guéhenno, on the independent review of UN civilian capacity for deployment in the immediate aftermath of conflict
  • The ICC prosecutor, on Libya
  • High Representative for Bosnia and Herzegovina Valentin Inzko
  • Under-Secretary-Generals Valerie Amos and Alain Le Roy and Assistant Secretary-General Ivan Simonovic on protection of civilians
  • The Special Envoy Terje Roed-Larsen, on Lebanon


Important Dates over the Horizon

  • A summit-level meeting of the Arab League is expected in Baghdad in 2011 (it has been postponed twice on 15 May and 29 March).
  • A referendum on the administrative status of Darfur is scheduled for 1 July.
  • South Sudan is set to declare independence on 9 July.
  • The “transitional” period in Somalia expires in August.
  • The Liberian constitutional referendum is scheduled for August.
  • Elections to the Palestinian National Authority to be held before October 2011 have been announced.
  • Legislative and presidential elections in Liberia are expected in October.

full forecast