December 2009 Monthly Forecast

Posted 1 December 2009
Download Complete Forecast: PDF

Notable Dates

Reports for consideration in December

Document Requesting Report

16 November

SG report on Darfur (UNAMID) S/2009/592

S/RES/1881

by late November

ICTY and ICTR reports on implementation of completion strategies (circulated to the Council in November)

S/RES/1534

30 November

SG report on Burundi (BINUB)

S/RES/1858

1 December

SG report on CYPRUS (UNFICYP)

S/RES/1873

4 December

SG report on the DRC (MONUC)

S/RES/1856

by early December

SG report on the Golan Heights (UNDOF)

S/RES/1875

by mid December

SG report on Afghanistan (UNAMA)

S/RES/1868

31 December

SG report on CAR (BONUCA)

S/PRST/2009/5

December 2009

Mandates Expire

Relevant Document

15 December

Cyprus (UNFICYP)

S/RES/1873

19 December

Sanctions regime for Liberia

S/RES/1854

20 December

Panel of Experts for Liberia

S/RES/1854

31 December

DRC (MONUC)

S/RES/1856

31 December

Burundi (BINUB)

S/RES/1858

31 December

CAR (BONUCA)

S/PRST/2009/5

31 December

Ad Hoc Working Group on Conflict Prevention and Resolution in Africa

S/2008/795

31 December

Golan Heights (UNDOF)

S/RES/1875

31 December

The Monitoring Team of the 1267 Committee (Al-Qaida and Taliban sanctions)

S/RES/1822

31 December

Arrangements for the Development Fund for Iraq (DFI) and the International Advisory and Monitoring Board for Iraq (IAMB)

S/RES/1859

31 December

UNOGBIS (Guinea-Bissau)

S/RES/1876

December 2009

Other Important Dates

3 December

The Human Rights Council will conduct its Universal Periodic Review of Côte d’Ivoire and the DRC.

7 December

The Human Rights Council will conduct its Universal Periodic Review of the DPRK (North Korea).

9 December

The Human Rights Council will conduct its Universal Periodic Review of Ethiopia (in the context of the Ethiopia/Eritrea situation).

10 December

The chair of the 1737 Sanctions Committee on Iran is expected to brief the Council.

Also expected in December:

  • The Council is expected to review by 31 December the terms of office for permanent judges in the ICTR/ICTY who are members of the appeals chamber.
  • A discussion of the latest IAEA report on Iran’s compliance is likely.

The Council is expected to be briefed by:

  • Luis Moreno-Ocampo, Prosecutor of the International Criminal Court;
  • Alan Doss, the Secretary-General’s Special Representative for the DRC and head of MONUC;
  • Alexander Downer, the Secretary-General’s Special Adviser on Cyprus and the Secretary-General’s Special Representative, Deputy Special Adviser and Head of UNFICYP Tayé-Brook Zerihoun;
  • Susana Malcorra, Under-Secretary-General for Field Support and Under-Secretary-General for Peacekeeping Operations, Alain Le Roy, are likely to brief the Council on UNAMID;
  • the chair of the Sudan Sanctions Committee;
  • the presidents and prosecutors of the ICTY and ICTR on implementation of the Tribunals’ completion strategies; and
  • Thabo Mbeki, the former South African president, who headed the AU Panel on Darfur may brief on the findings of the Panel’s report.

Important Dates over the Horizon

  • On 1 January 2010 the UN Integrated Peacebuilding Office in Guinea-Bissau will succeed UNOGBIS and the UN Integrated Peacebuilding Office in CAR will succeed BONUCA.
  • Parliamentary elections for Iraq are provisionally scheduled for January 2010.
  • The Human Rights Council will conduct its Universal Periodic Review of Bosnia and Herzegovina, Fiji, Iran and Iraq in February 2010.
  • The trial of former Liberian President Charles Taylor is expected to continue until February 2010 with a possible ruling in July and a sentencing in August.
  • Elections (presidency and parliament, South Sudanese presidency, state governors, southern parliament and state assemblies) in Sudan are expected in April 2010.
  • General elections in Myanmar are slated for 2010.
  • The ICJ is expected to make an advisory opinion on the legality of Kosovo’s February 2008 unilateral declaration of independence sometime in 2010.
  • Parliamentary elections in Afghanistan are slated for 2010.
  • Legislative elections in Chad are slated for 2010.
  • Elections are scheduled for April 2010 in Northern Cyprus.
  • Presidential and legislative elections are expected in Burundi in July 2010.
  • Presidential and legislative elections in Liberia are scheduled for 2011.

Full forecast

 

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