October 2009 Monthly Forecast

MIDDLE EAST

Lebanon

The Council is expected to consider in October the Secretary-General’s report on the implementation of resolution 1559. This resolution in 2004 urged the disarmament of all Lebanese and non-Lebanese militias and the extension of government control over all Lebanese territory.

The report is due on 19 October and the Council is expected to discuss it in informal consultations and to receive a briefing from Special Envoy Terje Rod-Larsen in late October. (An Update Report will be published closer to the time of the briefing.)

The main issues for consideration will likely be the fact that Lebanon has yet to form a government since its 7 June elections and issues related to the 14 July explosion of a weapons cache, reportedly belonging to Hezbollah, and the firing of rockets into Israel in early September, reportedly by Palestinian militias.

Full forecast

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