November 2008 Monthly Forecast

Posted 30 October 2008
Download Complete Forecast: PDF

Aide Memoire

Important matters pending for the Council include the following.

  • The Council is yet to take up the Secretary-General’s recommendations regarding protection of civilians presented in his October 2007 report (S/2007/643).
  • The 2005 World Summit requested that the Security Council consider reforms for the Military Staff Committee. This has yet to be addressed.
  • The monthly reports from KFOR in Kosovo have been submitted with a significant time-lag: the last available report covers the period 1 to 31 July 2008.
  • In resolution 1327on the implementation of the report of the Panel on UN Peace Operations (the Brahimi Report, S/2000/809), the Council decided to review periodically the implementation of the provisions contained in the resolution’s annex. No such reviews have occurred in the past three years.
  • The quarterly reports from EUFOR in Bosnia and Herzegovina have been submitted several months late. The last one covered the period from 1 March to 31 May.
  • The December 2004 report by the Secretary-General on human rights violations in Côte d’Ivoire, requested by presidential statement 2004/17, has still not been made public. Also on Côte d’Ivoire, the December 2005 report by the Secretary-General’s Special Adviser on the Prevention of Genocide has not been published.
  • The quarterly reports of the International Security Assistance Force in Afghanistan are now routinely outdated when released. (The last report, released in September covered the period 1 February to 30 April 2008.) The next report covering the period 1 May to 30 July 2008 is yet to be released.
  • Similarly, UNAMI reports on human rights, which in the past were produced every two to three months, are now usually delayed by several months and are therefore quite outdated. (The last report, released in March, covered the period from 1 July to 31 December 2007.)
  • The Council requested the Secretary-General on 21 November 2006 (S/2006/928) to update the index to Council notes and statements on working methods. This has not been published.
  • On Western Sahara, in April the Council, in resolution 1813, called upon the parties to continue negotiations. But there have been no further talks, nor any briefing to the Council on the situation. The Secretary-General’s Personal Envoy Peter van Walsum left his post when his contract expired at the end of July and no successor has been appointed at press time.
  • On the DRC, the Council sanctions committee has not acted on individual sanctions under resolution 1698 and 1807 against armed groups that recruit children and or “commit serious violations of international law involving the targeting of children or women in situations of armed conflict, including killing and maiming, sexual violence, abduction and forced displacement,” respectively, despite MONUC reports about the problem continuing on a serious scale.
  • The Secretary-General has yet to put forward proposals for the delineation of the international borders of Lebanon, especially in the Sheb’a Farms area, in accordance with resolution 1701, and respond to the cartographic, legal and political implications of the alternative path suggested by the Government of Lebanon in its seven-point plan.
  • The Council is awaiting the PBC’s response to its May request for advice and recommendations on the situation in the Central African Republic (S/2008/383).
  • The Secretariat is yet to report to the Council on Kenya as requested in the 6 February presidential statement (S/PRST/2008/4).

Full forecast