April 2007 Monthly Forecast

Posted 27 March 2007
Download Complete Forecast: PDF

Aide Memoire

Important matters pending before the Council include:

  • Implementation of the phased approach for Darfur as agreed in Abuja in November 2006 is lagging. In early March, Sudan responded to the heavy support package with a large number of objections. A more detailed AU-UN agreement on the hybrid operation as endorsed by the Council on 19 December is still pending.
  • No action, as envisaged in resolution 1706 on Darfur, has been taken to impose “strong effective measures, such as asset freeze or travel ban, against any individual or group that violates or attempts to block the implementation of the [Darfur Peace] Agreement or commits human rights violations.”  A number of proposals are being considered but divisions remain.
  • Action on the Secretary-General’s recommendations for a peacekeeping force in Chad and the Central African Republic  is still awaited, because of Chad’s concerns with the proposed robust military component.
  • On Somalia, the Council is still to act on its threat “to consider taking measures against those who seek to prevent or block a peaceful dialogue process, overthrow the Transitional Federal Institutions by force, or take action that further threatens regional stability” made in resolution 1744.
  • On the DRC, the Council is still to consider imposing individual sanctions under resolutions 1596, 1649 and 1698 against armed groups’ commanders that recruit children and/or refuse to disarm.  There seems to be strong momentum for that in April.
  • The Council is still waiting for the Secretary-General’s recommendations on the status of the Sheb’a Farms. In his last report on implementation of resolution 1701 (issued on 14 March), the Secretary-General mentioned good progress on the cartographic analysis of the status of the farms, and said that the technical work would be completed by the next reporting period in mid-June.
  • The December 2004 report by the Secretary-General on human rights violations in Côte d’Ivoire, requested by a presidential statement, has still not been made public. Also on Côte d’Ivoire, the December 2005 report by the Secretary-General’s Special Adviser on the Prevention of Genocide has not been published.
  • The 2005 World Summit requested reforms relating to the Military Staff Committee. This has yet to be addressed.

Full forecast

 

Sign up for SCR emails

Subscribe to receive SCR publications