June 2017 Monthly Forecast

• Overview

  Bolivia will have the presidency in June. Read more

• Status Update

  Status Update since our May Forecast Read more

• In Hindsight: Security Council Open Debates

  In the past few years, the Security Council has devoted more and more time to open debates. From 90 hours in 2013, the cumulative duration went up gradually to more than 160 hours in 2016. Most open debates in the last several years have been thematic, with situation-specific ones, other than the quarterly Middle East open debate, being rare exceptions. Read more

• Mali

  In June, the Council is due to renew the mandate of the UN Multidimensional Integrated Stabilization Mission in Mali (MINUSMA). The Council also expects to receive a briefing from the Special Representative of the Secretary-General and head of MINUSMA, Mahamat Saleh Annadif, followed by consultations. Read more

• Notable Dates

  Notable Dates for June Read more

• Sudan (Darfur)

  In June, the Council is expected to renew the mandate for UNAMID, prior to its expiry on 30 June. The Council will also hold a briefing, followed by consultations, on UNAMID. Under-Secretary-General for Peacekeeping Operations Jean-Pierre Lacroix is expected to provide the briefing. Read more

• Côte d’Ivoire

  In June, the Council is expected to receive a final briefing from the Special Representative of the Secretary-General and head of the UN Operation in Côte d’Ivoire (UNOCI), Aïchatou Mindaoudou, on the completion of the mission’s mandate. The Council is also expected to adopt a presidential statement welcoming the successful termination of the mission. The Under-Secretary-General for Peacekeeping Operations Jean-Pierre Lacroix may also brief the Council. Read more

• Counter-Terrorism

  In June, the Security Council will be briefed by Jeffrey Feltman, Under-Secretary-General for Political Affairs, on UN counter-terrorism efforts in support of member states against the Islamic State in Iraq and the Levant (ISIL). The briefing, which will be followed by consultations, will be based on the fifth strategic-level report of the Secretary-General requested by resolution 2253 of 17 December 2015, expected to be released at the end of May. The Council is also expected to adopt a resolution updating the 1267/1989/2253 ISIL (Da’esh) & Al-Qaida Sanctions regime. Read more

• Libya

  In June, the Council is expected to receive a briefing from the Special Representative of the Secretary-General and head of the UN Support Mission in Libya (UNSMIL), Martin Kobler. The Council is expected to renew the mandate of the Panel of Experts assisting the 1970 Libya Sanctions Committee, the authorisation to inspect vessels suspected to be violating the arms embargo, and the measures regarding attempts to illicitly export crude oil from Libya. The Council is also likely to be briefed by the Sanctions Committee’s chair, Ambassador Olof Skoog (Sweden). Read more

• Conflict Prevention

  In June, the Council will hold a high-level briefing on “Transboundary Waters and Preventive Diplomacy”. Secretary-General António Guterres is expected to brief. Bolivian President Evo Morales will preside. No Council product is anticipated. Read more

• International Criminal Tribunals

  In June, the Security Council will hold its semi-annual debate on the ad hoc international criminal tribunals. The presidents and prosecutors of the International Criminal Tribunal for the former Yugoslavia (ICTY) and the International Residual Mechanism for Criminal Tribunals—established in 2010 to carry out a number of the essential functions of the International Criminal Tribunal for Rwanda (ICTR) and the ICTY after the completion of their respective mandates—are expected to brief and may meet with the Informal Working Group on International Tribunals prior to the debate. Read more

• Central African Republic

  In June, the Special Representative of the Secretary-General and head of MINUSCA, Parfait Onanga-Anyanga, will brief the Council on the implementation of MINUSCA’s mandate. The briefing may also include a civil society representative. The mandate of MINUSCA expires on 15 November 2017. Read more

• Mine Action

  At the initiative of Bolivia, the Council is expected to hold a meeting in June on mine action and explosive hazard threat mitigation, with a briefing by the Under-Secretary-General for Peacekeeping Operations, Jean-Pierre Lacroix, and possibly one other speaker who would offer a perspective from the field. Bolivia is expected to circulate a concept note ahead of the meeting and has signalled its intention to propose a draft resolution. Read more

• Syria

  In June, Council members expect to receive briefings on the political and humanitarian situations in Syria and on chemical weapons. Council members will also be following closely the seventh round of the intra-Syrian talks, which are expected to be convened in Geneva in June. Read more

• UNOCA/LRA

  In June, François Loucény Fall, Special Representative and head of the UN Regional Office for Central Africa (UNOCA), is expected to brief the Security Council on the Secretary-General’s semi-annual report on UNOCA and the implementation of the UN regional strategy to combat the Lord’s Resistance Army (LRA). The mandate of UNOCA expires on 31 August 2018. Read more

• Somalia

  In June, the Council is expected to renew the mandate of UNSOM, which expires on 16 June. Read more

• Peacebuilding

  In June, the Council expects briefings by Ambassadors Macharia Kamau (Kenya) and Cho Tae-yul (Republic of Korea), the former and current chairs of the Peacebuilding Commission (PBC), for the presentation of the PBC’s tenth annual report. On the same day, an informal interactive dialogue is planned, involving Council members, the chairs of PBC country configurations, and ambassadors of countries on the PBC agenda. Read more

• UNDOF (Golan)

  In June, the Council is expected to renew the mandate of the UN Disengagement Observer Force (UNDOF) in the Golan Heights for a period of six months. UNDOF was established in 1974 to monitor the ceasefire between Israel and Syria. Its mandate expires on 30 June. Read more

• Afghanistan

  In June, the Council will hold its quarterly debate on Afghanistan, during which it will consider the Secretary-General’s report on the UN Assistance Mission in Afghanistan (UNAMA). The Secretary-General’s Special Representative for Afghanistan and head of UNAMA, Tadamichi Yamamoto, is expected to brief.  Read more

• Democratic Republic of the Congo

  In June, the Council is likely to extend the Democratic Republic of the Congo (DRC) sanctions regime and the mandate of the Group of Experts assisting the 1533 DRC Sanctions Committee for a few months in a technical rollover.  Read more

• South Sudan

  In June, the Council is expected to consider the Secretary-General’s 90-day report on UNMISS and his 30-day assessment of the deployment and future requirements of the RPF. The Secretary-General is also expected to provide a review of the progress made by the parties towards ceasing hostilities, returning to the path of dialogue, and achieving inclusiveness within the government, as well as to recommend any relevant adjustments to the UNMISS mandate. The UNMISS mandate expires on 15 December 2017. Read more

• UNRCCA (Central Asia)

  In June, the Special Representative and head of UNRCCA, Petko Draganov, will brief Council members in consultations on key regional issues, including the threat of terrorism and extremism, the impact of the situation in Afghanistan, drug-trafficking, trans-boundary water management, and tensions linked to border-related disputes. He is also expected to brief on the Secretary-General’s visit to Central Asia due to take place in the first half of June. UNRCCA was established in 2007 for an open-ended time period.  Read more

• Iran

  In June, the Secretary-General is due to report on the implementation of resolution 2231, which endorsed the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA) on Iran’s nuclear programme. The Council is scheduled to hear briefings by the Under-Secretary-General for Political Affairs, Jeffrey Feltman; the Council’s 2231 facilitator, Ambassador Sebastiano Cardi (Italy); and a representative of the EU in its capacity as coordinator of the Joint Commission, the mechanism established by the parties to the JCPOA to oversee its implementation.  Read more