October 2012 Monthly Forecast

• Overview

  Guatemala will preside over the Security Council in October.  It is planning to hold three open debates during the month. In mid-October, an open debate on the role of the International Criminal Court and its relation to the Council will be chaired by Foreign Minister Harold Caballeros. The Secretary-General may brief the Council. Read more

• Status Update

  Status Update of Security Council Activity in September 2012. Read more

• Notable Dates

  Notable Dates for October 2012 Read more

• In Hindsight: Syria

  After the conclusion of the UN Supervision Mission in Syria (UNSMIS) on 19 August and decreased Council activity on Syria, it may be timely to take stock of the Council’s response to the situation. Read more

• In Hindsight: The Secretary-General's Report on Eritrea

  On 29 August, the Secretary-General reissued the report on Eritrea (S/2012/412) initially circulated to Council members on 8 June. In resolution 2023 of 5 December 2011 (which condemned Eritrean violations of resolutions 1844, 1862 and 1907 and imposed new measures... Read more

• Rule of Law

  In October, the Council will hold an open debate on the role of the International Criminal Court (ICC) and its relation to the Council under the agenda item entitled “The promotion and strengthening of the rule of law in the maintenance of international peace and security”. Read more

• Sudan and South Sudan

  In October, the Council is likely to meet twice on Sudan and South Sudan, in accordance with resolution 2046. The Council is also expected to discuss the Secretary-General’s most recent UNISFA report. The UNISFA mandate expires on 17 November. Read more

• Sudan/Darfur

  In October, the Council is likely to hold consultations to discuss the Secretary-General’s quarterly report (S/2012/548) on the AU/UN Hybrid Operation in Darfur (UNAMID). At press time no outcome was anticipated. Read more

• Somalia

  In October, the Council is scheduled to renew the authorisation of the AU Mission in Somalia (AMISOM) before it expires on 31 October. The AU is due to submit another 60-day report on AMISOM as requested by resolution 2036. Read more

• Israel/Palestine

  In October, the Council will hold its quarterly open debate on the Middle East after a briefing by Under-Secretary-General for Political Affairs Jeffrey Feltman. The discussion will likely focus on the economic crisis facing the Palestinian Authority, the security situation in the Occupied Palestinian Territories and in the region and obstacles to reviving the stalled Israel/Palestine peace process. Read more

• Lebanon

  In late October, Special Envoy Terje Rød-Larsen will brief Council members in consultations on the Secretary-General’s report, due on 19 October, on the implementation of resolution 1559. Read more

• 1988 Sanctions Committee Report

  On 4 September the chair of the 1988 Sanctions Committee, Ambassador Peter Wittig (Germany), circulated the first report of the Analytical Support and Sanctions Monitoring Team (S/2012/683), as well as the accompanying Committee position paper (S/2012/684) on the recommendations proposed by the Monitoring Team.  Read more

• Afghanistan

  In early October the Council will consider extending for an additional year the ISAF authorisation in Afghanistan ahead of its expiry on 13 October. Read more

• Côte d’Ivoire

  In October the Council is expected to be briefed in consultations by the chair of the Côte d’Ivoire Sanctions Committee, Ambassador Gert Rosenthal (Guatemala), and to consider the midterm report of the Group of Experts (GoE) that supports the Sanctions Committee. Read more

• Sierra Leone

  In October, the Council will receive a briefing from Justice Shireen Avis Fisher, the President of the Special Court for Sierra Leone (SCSL), and Brenda Hollis, the Chief Prosecutor of the Court. Read more

• Haiti

  In October, the Council is expected to renew for an additional 12 months the mandate of the UN Stabilisation Mission in Haiti (MINUSTAH) which expires on 15 October. A debate, preceded by a briefing by Mariano Fernández, the Special Representative of the Secretary-General and head of the mission, on the work of MINUSTAH and the semi-annual report by the Secretary-General (S/2012/678), is also planned. Read more

• Women, Peace and Security

  In late October the Council is due to hold its annual open debate on women, peace and security. The head of UN Women, Michelle Bachelet, and the head of the Department of Peacekeeping Operations, Hervé Ladsous, are expected to brief along with civil society representatives. The Secretary-General may also address the Council. Guatemala, as president of the Council in October, plans to circulate a concept note ahead of the debate. Read more

• Security Council Elections 2012

  On 18 October, the General Assembly is expected to hold elections for five members of the Security Council. The new members will take up their seats on 1 January 2013 and will serve on the Council through 31 December 2014. Read more